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Daily Memo: Japanese Support for Ukraine, French Presence in Syria

Intelligence-sharing. Japan has agreed to provide Ukraine with satellite-based geospatial data, including radar imagery...

Plans for Greenland’s Development

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(click to enlarge) Greenland’s newly elected parliament has formed a coalition government that prioritizes business development and eventual independence, though parties differ on the timeline....

Latest Analysis

The Trump-Putin Negotiations

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I normally avoid personalizing geopolitical events, since I regard nations, not leaders, to be...

The EU Changes Course in Africa

Since the end of the colonial era, Europe has spent much of its time...
2025 Forecast:
The World Without an Anchor

The international order is about to get less orderly.

As Trade Changes, So Does US Defense

Reports from around the world suggest U.S. military policy is at odds with itself....

Gaming Out Iran Negotiations

The Trump administration’s diplomacy with Iran is about much more than nuclear nonproliferation. Whatever...

Assessing the Potential Impact of US Tariffs

The United States’ sweeping tariffs announced earlier this month have disrupted global shipping networks...

How the UK Bridges the US and EU

By Will Haszard Once the world’s preeminent empire, the United Kingdom has since World War...
From the Desk of George Frieman
George Friedman, Geopolitical Futures

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The Trump-Putin Negotiations

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I normally avoid personalizing geopolitical events, since I regard nations, not leaders, to be the agents of history. But there are moments when the...

The Storm Before the Calm

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The World in 2025

The international order is about to get less orderly.

The Road to 2040

We look into the future and forecast what the world…

The World in 2024

The coming year will revolve around what happens in the U.S., China and Russia – and between Israel and Hamas.

Read our annual or long term forecasts.

Regional Directory

Press Room

US Bargaining With China and Russia

With the arrival of the second Trump administration, great power competition is at an inflection point. Both Russia and China face internal crises that...

American Naval Policy and China

Editor’s note: If it feels as though the world is changing, that’s because it is. Global economic reconfiguration, demographic decline and geopolitical realignment have...

Europe: The Agony and Ecstasy of US Relations

One of the most pressing geopolitical issues Europe faces is its evolving relationship with the United States. This relationship will be critical as Europe...

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Trending Content

George Friedman on How Geopolitics Drives Trump’s Tariffs

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It has been a tumultuous couple of weeks since U.S. President Donald Trump announced his sweeping tariffs, pushing the world's two biggest economies, the United States and China, into an ever-escalating trade war. The radical shifts taken by the administration have us at GPF wondering, could this be one of the most consequential months for global economics in the 21st century? And are the tariffs meant to disrupt the global economic system of free trade that's been in place since WWII? In this episode of Talking Geopolitics, Geopolitical Futures Chairman George Friedman joins host Christian Smith to examine just how we got here and to predict how long the tit for tat will continue.

George Friedman on How Geopolitics Drives Trump’s Tariffs

FREE
It has been a tumultuous couple of weeks since U.S. President Donald Trump announced his sweeping tariffs, pushing the world's two biggest economies, the United States and China, into an ever-escalating trade war. The radical shifts taken by the administration have us at GPF wondering, could this be one of the most consequential months for global economics in the 21st century? And are the tariffs meant to disrupt the global economic system of free trade that's been in place since WWII? In this episode of Talking Geopolitics, Geopolitical Futures Chairman George Friedman joins host Christian Smith to examine just how we got here and to predict how long the tit for tat will continue.

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America in Transition &
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