Your Source for
Geopolitical Forecasting

Analyzing the forces that drive nations’ behavior

  • Daily Memos
  • Briefs
  • Analyses
  • Forecasts

WELCOME

We write for the learned public: for those of you who want to understand the world you live in and are citizens of every country, for the public engaged in all walks of life. We believe that democracy can survive only if there is a segment of society that is not caught up in the passions of the moment, but is eager to look at the world as it is. I and my team may have our personal beliefs, but in our work we strive to be objective and indifferent to the opinions swirling around the world. We hope you’ll join us in our quest.

- George Friedman,
Founder, Geopolitical Futures

Our Commitment to You

Unbiased, Objective Reports

We give you a radically non-ideological perspective, based on a different view of the world. Our selection of what’s important derives from geopolitical trends, not from the media or online chatter.

Intelligence Analysis

We use intelligence analysis to discover the small things that will define the future. Geopolitics defines the broad thrusts; intelligence analysis tracks its movements.

Successful Forecasting

Our forecasting model is based on the assumption that impersonal forces – things like geography, politics, economics, military capability and demography – govern world leaders, not the other way around. It’s an important distinction you don’t see anywhere else.

Forecasts

Geopolitical Forecasts

Geopolitical Futures predicts the actions will take based on global cycles and patterns of conflict. Our annual forecast highlights processes that will have lasting consequences and broad geopolitical impact.
Our forecast:

  1. Reveals the underlying forces driving global behavior
  2. Explains how the present fits into longer-term geopolitical processes
  3. Shows which countries are on the rise
  4. Anticipates shifts in the global economy and trade

Our Content

As a Geopolitical Futures subscriber, you’ll receive regular updates on what’s important today and what’s to come in the future. This includes real-time Briefs on the world’s most pressing geopolitical events, daily in-depth Analysis from our global team of analysts, and a concise Daily Memo to give you exactly what is geopolitically important today.

FREE Featured Content

Brief: Serbia’s Show of Force to Kosovo

FREE
Background: Kosovo declared its independence from Serbia in 2008, less than 10 years after a NATO-led peacekeeping operation began there. Serbia, however, has yet...

Daily Memo: US, UK, Australia Forge New Security Pact

FREE
Joining forces. British, Australian and U.S. leaders announced a new security partnership for the Indo-Pacific on Wednesday. The trilateral “AUKUS” program will focus on...

The Future of NATO’s Strategic Concept

FREE
2022 will bring two major diplomatic events for the trans-Atlantic community. First, in March, the European Union will adopt its Strategic Compass, a document...

Podcast: Talking Geopolitics

FREE Featured Content

Daily Memo: Turkish-Azerbaijani Energy Deal, Eurozone Inflation

Closer ties. Turkey and Azerbaijan signed a deal on a roadmap to build energy...

Turkey and Greece Extend Olive Branches

It was a busy week for Turkey’s representatives at the 78th session of the...

George Friedman

Russia Seals Its Southern Border

FREE
Russia's focus currently is on its western front, in Ukraine and neighboring countries. There...

The Chinese Mystery

FREE
Chinese Defense Minister Li Shangfu has disappeared. Some reports say he was meeting with...

Understanding Our Geopolitical Model

1
Information Collection

Extensive open-source information collection keeps us abreast of world events no matter how obscure. It draws from English and foreign language sources and includes traditional media as well as government, institutional and other primary source report from all over the world.

2
Strategic Intelligence

We make sense of the world by overlaying collected information with our model. Our model tells us how to expect a country to behave based on what it must have in order to remain secure, the limits imposed on it and the means at its disposal to take action.

3
Net Assessment

The net assessment is the current snapshot of a country’s position and power at a particular moment in time.  It reflects the realities facing a country in terms of what cannot be done and what must be done in the present, thereby enabling us to predict its future behavior.

Understand the Issues That Are Shaping the World's Future

Choose your membership

Subscriber

$ 49 /yr
then $79 annually
 
  • Access to all content
  • Daily Geopolitical Analysis
  • Annual Geopolitical Forecast
  • Forecast Insights

    PLUS
    The World Explained in Maps

    PDF download immediately after purchase

Club Member

$ 299 /yr

$249 (Club Membership) +
$99 $50 (Subscription)

  • Access to all content
  • Daily Geopolitical Analysis
  • Annual Geopolitical Forecast
  • Forecast Insights
  • Special Report:
    The World Explained in Maps
    Club Member Perks
  • Bi-weekly Video discussions
    With George and GPF analysts
  • Access to Discussion Salon
    Discuss and debate Geopolitics with the ClubGPF community
  • Access to Video Salon
    View exclusive videos and recorded video discussions
  • Other exclusive content
    Includes Podcasts+ and a Map room

Get Geopolitical Futures FREE newsletter

Understanding Our Geopolitical Model

Sign up now and receive our special report Understanding our Geopolitical Model

Get weekly analysis from New York Times bestselling author George Friedman and our global team of analysts, plus special offers.

Subscribe Now


The Geopolitics of Russia

FREE with an annual subscription to Geopolitical Futures.

Subscribe Now