The items listed below represent potential emerging issues that our analysts are tracking. These can be long term or short term, but will be updated daily. If an item on our Watch List becomes critical, we will email you a full analysis explaining its significance. Each Saturday, we will follow up our daily Watch List for each week with our conclusions on these issues. North Korea: We need to figure out whether the most recent nuclear test in North Korea suggests any notable improvement in North Korean capabilities. Has North Korea actually conducted more tests than usual this year? We also need to re-examine our net assessment on why North Korea is conducting all of these tests. Brazil: The Brazilian Development Bank is now under investigation by Brazilian prosecutors because of an alleged corruption scheme. What are the potential ramifications of this investigation? Is this another Lava Jato-type scandal in terms of its ability to destabilize Brazil’s recovery? Afghanistan: A private Afghan television station says Helmand and Uruzgan provinces “are facing a serious threat of collapse” due to Taliban attacks. Afghanistan has been on our radar the last few weeks – is the situation becoming that dire in these two […]

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