The items listed below represent potential emerging issues that our analysts are tracking. These can be long term or short term, but will be updated daily. If an item on our Watch List becomes critical, we will email you a full analysis explaining its significance.
Each Saturday, we will follow up our daily Watch List for each week with our conclusions on these issues.
North Korea: Pyongyang has canceled its summit with Seoul scheduled for May 16, citing U.S.-South Korean military drills. North Korea had proposed the talks, and the drills have been scheduled for months, so something seems amiss. Shortly thereafter, Pyongyang threatened to pull out of the summit with the United States, citing U.S. National Security Adviser John Bolton’s demand for immediate, rather than phased, denuclearization (similar to the U.S. deal with Libya in 2003). It’s understandable why Pyongyang would reject these demands; the Gadhafi regime fell less than a decade after ending its nuclear prog