The items listed below represent potential emerging issues that our analysts are tracking. These can be long term or short term, but will be updated daily. If an item on our Watch List becomes critical, we will email you a full analysis explaining its significance. Each Saturday, we will follow up our daily Watch List for each week with our conclusions on these issues. Turkmenistan: Turkmenistan produced about 600,000 fewer metric tons of wheat than the 1.6 million metric tons it was projected to harvest this year. President Gurbanguly Berdimuhamedov said the harvest was still enough to meet the country’s domestic consumption needs. Our model anticipates instability in Central Asia, and food shortages can be a strong trigger for unrest in a country that is already economically strained. We need to confirm domestic wheat consumption levels, look into potential import options and watch for any signs of inflation in prices for wheat-based food products. Hungary: A new far-right Hungarian political party known as the Force and Determination party has filled the gap left by the nationalist Jobbik party, which is attempting to moderate its policies. We expect nationalist and separatist parties to grow more popular in Europe, especially in countries affected by […]

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