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Daily Memo: Nord Stream 2 Deal Reached, US-China Trade Surges

Nord Stream 2 deal. The United States and Germany reached a deal to allow the construction of the Nord Stream 2 pipeline, a project that will carry Russian natural gas to European markets and that has been a point of contention between Washington and Western European capitals, especially Berlin. In the agreement, Germany commits to […]

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Daily Memo: US-China Cyber Strife, Preparations on Afghanistan

The U.S.-China cyber feud is escalating. On Wednesday, Chinese state media claimed U.S. hackers launched attacks on thousands of servers in China. This comes after a U.S.-led cybersecurity coalition involving dozens of countries accused China of facilitating a host of attacks, including ones targeting Microsoft and the Norwegian parliament. China and the U.S. (to say […]

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Daily Memo: OPEC+ Reaches Deal, North Korean Trade Plummets

Oil production hike. OPEC+ countries reached a deal to raise production by a total of 400,000 barrels per day on a monthly basis starting from August and phase out cuts that had previously been agreed to by September 2022. The agreement will add about 2 percent more oil to global supplies by the end of […]

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Some times the politics and journalism of the world gets in the way of clear thinking (at my own peril). Your ability to provide perspective and context to the things that really matter are of high value.

H. W.

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Daily Memo: Protests in France, Unrest in South Africa

Demonstrations in France. Protests erupted in several French cities, including Paris, Nantes, Marseille and Montpellier, after President Emmanuel Macron on Monday announced plans to require a COVID-19 vaccine certificate or negative test to enter bars, restaurants and theaters. In the capital, police used tear gas to disperse the crowd. Both the far right and far […]

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H. W.

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The Road to 2040

Dec. 2, 2015 We look into the future and forecast what the world will look like in a quarter of a century. We predict several disruptions in the global structure by 2040 and conclude that much of the instability over the next 25 years will be focused in the European and Asian continents.

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Some times the politics and journalism of the world gets in the way of clear thinking (at my own peril). Your ability to provide perspective and context to the things that really matter are of high value.

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Daily Memo: Update on Afghanistan

Iranian diplomacy. On Wednesday, Iranian President-elect Ebrahim Raisi met with Indian Foreign Minister Subrahmanyam Jaishankar, who is now in Moscow for talks with his Russian counterpart. The main topic of discussion for both trips is the situation in Afghanistan. Also on Wednesday, Iran hosted talks between the Taliban and the Afghan government amid growing concerns […]

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Daily Memo: Preparing for Spillover From Afghan Violence

Escalating violence. Tajikistan is deploying an additional 20,000 troops from its reserves to the Afghan border amid concerns over escalating violence in Afghanistan following the withdrawal of U.S. troops. Tajikistan reported on Monday that roughly 1,000 Afghan fighters crossed into its territory due to fighting with the Taliban. A number of other countries, including Pakistan, […]

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Some times the politics and journalism of the world gets in the way of clear thinking (at my own peril). Your ability to provide perspective and context to the things that really matter are of high value.

H. W.

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Daily Memo: Energy Inflation in Europe

Energy inflation. Concerns are growing in Europe about rising energy prices. In Germany, the price of electricity has doubled since March 2020. Gasoline prices have also risen significantly due to a carbon tax. In Europe, the price of natural gas is now at a 13-year high, in part due to supply shortages following a cold, […]

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What We’re Reading: After the Revolution

After the Revolution By Robert Evans Every Texan worth their salt knows that Texas fought a war of independence to become its own republic. That Texans were a sovereign people for roughly a decade created a romantic and in some ways charming narrative about the rugged individualism of those who live here that, for better […]

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Kevin G.

Some times the politics and journalism of the world gets in the way of clear thinking (at my own peril). Your ability to provide perspective and context to the things that really matter are of high value.

H. W.

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Daily Memo: Colombia Investigates Attack on Helicopter Carrying President

Under fire in Colombia. A helicopter carrying Colombian President Ivan Duque, as well as the country’s defense minister, interior minister and others, came under fire on Friday as it was landing at an airport in Norte de Santander. The helicopter landed safely but was hit by six rounds of gunfire from two shooters using an […]

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Daily Memo: Russian Warning Shots in the Black Sea

Russia fires near British destroyer. A Russian patrol ship fired warning shots at a British destroyer for allegedly entering Russian waters near Crimea in the Black Sea. London rejected a statement issued by the Russian Defense Ministry saying the destroyer had ignored notices that it was entering Russian territory. Reconsidering the TPP. U.S. lawmakers are […]

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Daily Memo: Uncertain Future for US-Philippine Treaty

Point of weakness. Philippine President Rodrigo Duterte said the all-important Visiting Forces Agreement with the U.S. will not be renewed until Washington explains why it allowed Chinese ships to immediately renege on a U.S.-brokered deal to resolve the Scarborough Shoal standoff in 2012. It’s doubtful the U.S. will be able to give a satisfactory explanation […]

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Why do our subscribers love us? Take it from them:

I can't emphasize enough my appreciation for you and the rest of the staff at Geopolitical Futures. Over the past three years... I have had a lot of bad information and impoverished understanding corrected because of your analyses.

Kevin G.

Some times the politics and journalism of the world gets in the way of clear thinking (at my own peril). Your ability to provide perspective and context to the things that really matter are of high value.

H. W.

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