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Net Assessment of the Middle East and North Africa

Dec. 2, 2015 Modern Middle Eastern states were largely formed by the British and French starting at the conclusion of World War I. The region today is struggling with a deep divide between declining secular regimes and emerging Islamist non-state actors.

In Israel, the people’s Army no longer believes in the people

By Fabrizio Maronta 1. On March 14, 2023, in the Knesset (Israel’s parliament), the coalition centred on the majority party (Likud) of Prime Minister Binyamin...

Net Assessment of Sub-Saharan Africa

Dec. 2, 2015 While the continent in some ways is still struggling to overcome the effects of its colonial past, some sub-Saharan African countries have produced high growth rates in recent years and may become the sorely needed future leaders for the region.

Taking China’s Maritime Threats Seriously

July 27, 2017 Threats may be its only option, but there’s a cost to perpetual coercion.

Slouching Into Bethlehem

In his poem titled “The Second Coming,” William Butler Yeats asks what kind of “beast … slouches towards Bethlehem to be born?” Perhaps he...

Watch List Findings: July 15, 2017

What follows are the preliminary findings for issues identified in the daily Watch Lists this week. We are only sending findings that we regard...

The Valdai Club

Last week, Russian President Vladimir Putin spoke at the Valdai Club, a Moscow-based think tank where serious matters are discussed, and where Russian policy...

The Retreat of Secularism in India

June 30, 2017 Hindu nationalism is filling the void, and jihadism may not be far behind.

The Limits of the Israeli-Chinese Partnership

In recent weeks, observers have pointed to an apparent strengthening of relations between Israel and China. A new center for research on Israeli-Chinese relations,...

Diesel Supplies and Food

Diesel supplies appear to be the next casualty of global energy disruptions. In fact, they started the year in a weak position, thanks to...

The Road to 2040

Dec. 2, 2015 We look into the future and forecast what the world will look like in a quarter of a century. We predict several disruptions in the global structure by 2040 and conclude that much of the instability over the next 25 years will be focused in the European and Asian continents.

Arab Food Insecurity and Political Failure

The Arab region, extending from the Persian Gulf in the east to the Atlantic Ocean in the west, faces severe shortages of several staple...

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