Home Regional Directory Americas The Predictive Power of Demography Regional DirectoryAmericasAnalysisAsia PacificCentral AsiaDeep DiveEurasiaEuropeMiddle East and North AfricaSouth AsiaSouth PacificSub-Saharan AfricaUnited States The Predictive Power of Demography By Jacob L. Shapiro - October 11, 2018 1083 History suggests the conventional wisdom about demographics and national power may be wrong. This article is for subscribers only Join thousands of readers who rely on GPF for clear-eyed geopolitical analysis. $79 per year Save 27% vs. monthly ✓Full access to all daily analysis & forecasts ✓George Friedman's geopolitical insights ✓2026 Forecast & Special Collection on the Middle East ✓100% reader-supported Subscribe Now 30-day money-back guarantee Already a subscriber? Log in RELATED ARTICLESMORE FROM AUTHOR Analysis Daily Memo: Commercial Shipping and the Conflict in Iran Analysis The Eclipse of the Islamic Republic Analysis Daily Memo: New Iranian Supreme Leader, Warnings From Neighbors Latest Posts Disrupted Oil Operations in the Persian GulfFREE Middle East and North Africa Geopolitical Futures - March 6, 2026 Continue to the category Daily Memo: Commercial Shipping and the Conflict in Iran Analysis Geopolitical Futures - March 10, 2026 The Eclipse of the Islamic Republic Analysis Hilal Khashan - March 10, 2026