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Net Assessment of Central Asia

March 17, 2016 Given its geography and proximity to major global powers, the region is vulnerable to invasion and susceptible to being heavily influenced by external conditions.

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Central Asia is a highly strategic region. As we have outlined in our annual forecast, Eurasia is in crisis. From the European Union to Russia, China and the Middle East, chaos and instability are growing. Central Asia is at a crossroads. At Geopolitical Futures, we closely track stability in Central Asia because what happens in the region can have spillover effects in Russia, western China, Afghanistan and even Syria and Iraq, and can impact U.S. interests in South Asia and the Middle East. A net assessment of Central Asia, unlike our other assessments, like Australia and Germany, cannot focus on the grand strategy of a particular country. Central Asia’s five states certainly each have grand strategies, like any country. But what sets Central Asia apart and makes this net assessment distinct, is that developments outside the region are the primary force shaping Central Asia. Central Asia is slowly destabilizing, and the speed and extent of this destabilization depend in large part o

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Net Assessment of Central Asia