GeoEconomic Lens

Viewing the global economy through the lens of geopolitics

In the Asia-Pacific, a New Security Arrangement Takes Shape

Last week, Japan, Australia and New Zealand reaffirmed their commitment to closer defense cooperation...

As Iran Declines, Turkey Advances

For all the attention paid to the conflict in Iran, the broader changes in...

NATO Puts Its Money Where Its Mouth Is

The most recent NATO summit, held in Ankara on July 7, marked a new...

Daily Memo
What's Geopolitically Important Today

Daily Memo: US-Iran Conflict Simmers, A Controversial Firing in Ukraine

U.S.-Iran latest. U.S. military strikes against Iran continued overnight, hitting not only coastal targets...
The Coming Defense Boom

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A Major Move by India

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Years ago, we at GPF predicted that the United States would try to reduce...

George Answers Your Questions: A Strange Article from Tass and The Conception and Birth of the United States

A Strange Article from Tass July 6, 2026 Question: The Russians have been fighting with one...

Russia’s Size and Centralization Become Liabilities

This week, a drone threat was declared for the first time ever in the...

The Red Sea: A Strategic Basin Far Beyond the Houthi Threat

Security in the Red Sea basin is often boiled down to one thing: the...

Turkey’s Ascent as a Defense Industrial Player

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(click to enlarge) Turkey’s defense industry is expanding rapidly. The country became the world’s 11th-largest supplier of arms exports recently, while its share of global...

The Race for Energy Security

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(click to enlarge) The International Energy Agency released its 2026 energy investment report, highlighting the key investment regions and sectors as the world continues to...

Expanding the Copperbelt’s Atlantic Export Routes

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(click to enlarge) U.S. strategy toward African critical minerals is changing rapidly. The United States’ Millennium Challenge Corporation has agreed to expand the use of...

Iran War Drains US Oil Reserves

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(click to enlarge) The U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve remains one of Washington’s most important tools for managing energy-market disruptions, but the Iran war has exposed...
From the Desk of George Frieman
George Friedman, Geopolitical Futures
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A Major Move by India

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Years ago, we at GPF predicted that the United States would try to reduce its involvement in the Eastern Hemisphere. Aside from his actions...

The Storm Before the Calm

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The World in 2026

China has effectively replaced Russia as a global power.

The Road to 2040

We look into the future and forecast what the world…

The World in 2025

The international order is about to get less orderly.

Read our annual or long term forecasts.

Press Room

US Bargaining With China and Russia

With the arrival of the second Trump administration, great power competition is at an inflection point. Both Russia and China face internal crises that...

American Naval Policy and China

Editor’s note: If it feels as though the world is changing, that’s because it is. Global economic reconfiguration, demographic decline and geopolitical realignment have...

Europe: The Agony and Ecstasy of US Relations

One of the most pressing geopolitical issues Europe faces is its evolving relationship with the United States. This relationship will be critical as Europe...

Partners

All over the world, there are institutions that share our enthusiasm for geopolitics. Sometimes they even share our written work with their readers, so it’s only fair that we return the favor. Enter our Partners page, where we occasionally reprint pieces from these institutions free of charge for our subscribers. The views contained herein are those of the authors and do not represent those of GPF and its staff.

Trending Content

The US-Iran “Gut Check” and the Future of European Defense

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This week’s NATO summit in Turkey left big questions about the war in Iran and America’s role in European defense. On this episode of Talking Geopolitics, GPF Chairman George Friedman joins host Christian Smith to discuss the US-Iran ceasefire breakdown, NATO and the European collective defense dilemma, and Turkey’s geopolitical rise and impact on the shifting realities in the region.

The US-Iran “Gut Check” and the Future of European Defense

FREE
This week’s NATO summit in Turkey left big questions about the war in Iran and America’s role in European defense. On this episode of Talking Geopolitics, GPF Chairman George Friedman joins host Christian Smith to discuss the US-Iran ceasefire breakdown, NATO and the European collective defense dilemma, and Turkey’s geopolitical rise and impact on the shifting realities in the region.

Daily Memo: Israeli Anxieties About Turkey

Anxious about Turkey. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu told U.S. President Donald Trump in a phone call that he was concerned by recent comments...

Russia’s Size and Centralization Become Liabilities

This week, a drone threat was declared for the first time ever in the Russian regions of Novosibirsk and Omsk, according to the Russian...

Daily Memo: US-Iran Tensions, Lavrov in Niger

Looking ahead. The United States is preparing for a multi-day or even multi-week exchange of fire with Iran in response to Tehran’s attacks on...

The Red Sea: A Strategic Basin Far Beyond the Houthi Threat

Security in the Red Sea basin is often boiled down to one thing: the Yemeni Houthi rebels’ ability to disrupt commercial shipping, particularly as...