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Is an Invasion of Ukraine Imminent?

George Friedman -
Over the past few days, the United States has warned that a Russian invasion of Ukraine may be imminent. The chairman of the Joint...

America’s Wars and Failures

George Friedman -
Sixty years ago, in 1962, the United States made the decision to go to war in Vietnam, deploying major ground and air forces to...

Russia, US and Ukraine: The State of Play

George Friedman -
When nations negotiate, a quiet settles in before the threats begin. Such is the case now between the U.S. and Russia, which will soon...

The Russian Treaty Proposal

George Friedman -
We have been operating with a model of Russia. Having lost its non-Russian territories with the breakup of the Soviet Union, Russia is missing...

The Republic of COVID-19

George Friedman -
The emergence of the omicron variant drives home an essential point: There is no evidence that the COVID-19 pandemic will end. It might, but...

Russia and Ukraine: War or Bluff?

George Friedman -
Two weeks ago, I wrote an analysis of Russian strategy titled “Russia’s Move.” Here’s a brief recap: When the Soviet Union collapsed, it lost...

The Debate Over America First

George Friedman -
Since the 1930s, there has been a debate in the United States over a foreign policy based on “America First,” a nationalistic policy that...

Russia’s Move

George Friedman -
Russia is not a trustful country – for good reason. Germany invaded it twice in the 20th century, France invaded it once in the...

Canada, Mexico and America’s Reality

George Friedman -
The United States lives in a fundamentally unique geopolitical reality. It’s the only major power that doesn’t face the risk of a land war,...

Prince Charles Says We Are Dead Meat

George Friedman -
Prince Charles has announced that the U.N. Climate Change Conference in Glasgow will be “the last chance saloon” for the planet. The COP26, as...

Forecasting Time

George Friedman -
Around November each year, we at GPF begin our forecasting process for the coming year. In a real sense, we are always forecasting, as...

Supply Chains: Our Parachute Moment

George Friedman -
At the risk of beating a dead horse, I’m writing about supply chains again. Ekaterina Zolotova and Phillip Orchard can explain why Russian-Chinese maneuvers...
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