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A New Command for the Same War

George Friedman - October 11, 2022

A few days ago, Russian President Vladimir Putin decided to replace the military commander in charge of the Ukraine war with Gen. Sergei Surovikin,...

What Is Russia Thinking??

George Friedman - October 4, 2022

The reason for Russia’s invasion of Ukraine was clear: Moscow wanted strategic depth. Nothing Russia has done since, however, has been clear. The military...

Immigration, the Economy and the Italian Election

George Friedman - September 27, 2022

Italy elected a hard-right party in parliamentary elections held over the weekend. The result indicates that Italians are unhappy with the country’s reality. Italy...

Russian Options

George Friedman - September 20, 2022

Last week, I discussed the nature of tactical nuclear weapons. They are built for tactical effect, not strategic effect. Strategic nuclear weapons, such as...

The War

George Friedman - September 13, 2022

During World War II, one needed to say only “the war” for others to know what was being discussed. We have reached the same...

America’s Institutional Crisis

George Friedman - September 6, 2022

In my latest book, “The Storm Before the Calm,” I predicted that the U.S. would go through a massive social crisis in the 2020s....

The German Weapons Shortage

George Friedman - August 30, 2022

Germany’s foreign minister suggested this week that Germany cannot send more of its own weapons to Ukraine because it has deficient supplies. If this...

The Permanence of War and Peace

George Friedman - August 23, 2022

Last week my friend and colleague, Jacek Bartosiak, wrote a piece for GPF titled “The Scalable World War Ahead,” in which he warned that...

China and Russia’s Strategic Problem

George Friedman - August 16, 2022

The war in Ukraine, now about 6 months old, is strategically important for a variety of reasons. If Russia defeats Ukraine and takes control...

The Fallout Over Taiwan

George Friedman - August 9, 2022

U.S. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s recent visit to Taiwan predictably sparked outrage in China, which responded by flexing its muscles through some not-at-all subtle...