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China and Russia’s Strategic Problem

George Friedman - August 16, 2022

The war in Ukraine, now about 6 months old, is strategically important for a variety of reasons. If Russia defeats Ukraine and takes control...

The Fallout Over Taiwan

George Friedman - August 9, 2022

U.S. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s recent visit to Taiwan predictably sparked outrage in China, which responded by flexing its muscles through some not-at-all subtle...

Strange Events and the Future of the Russo-Ukrainian War

George Friedman - July 26, 2022

Russia and Ukraine have signed an agreement to permit the shipping of grain through the Black Sea to world markets. A few hours after...

Biden in Saudi Arabia: Realpolitik vs. Morality

George Friedman - July 19, 2022

The war in Ukraine rages on as the United States still wants to prevent Russia from effectively reaching Eastern Europe. To that end, Washington’s...

Japan Enters a New Phase in Its History

George Friedman - July 12, 2022

Former Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe was assassinated last week. Days later, his political party won an overwhelming majority in parliament. The Liberal Democratic...

Russian Military Doctrine

George Friedman - July 5, 2022

The city of Lysychansk has fallen to Russia, giving it full control of Ukraine’s breakaway Luhansk region and putting it in position to gain...

Warsaw to Budapest

George Friedman - June 28, 2022

The trip from Warsaw to Budapest is a trip between two realities. Warsaw is not quite on a war footing but exudes a desire...

The Evolution of Great Powers

George Friedman - June 21, 2022

The evolution of military power is one of the most important if underrated geopolitical changes happening in the world today. Throughout the 20th century,...