South Pacific

Daily Memo: Taiwan Rumors and Visits, US-Russian Spy Meeting

China and Taiwan. China has reportedly been cracking down on a surge of online speculation about a possible cross-strait conflict with Taiwan. Like many authoritarian regimes, Beijing often tries to stoke nationalist sentiment among the public to boost the Chinese Communist Party’s legitimacy, but it also often gets nervous about public pressure forcing its hand […]

Explanations for the Labor Shortage

The current breakdown of the global supply chain threatens to change the future of the world. If this worsens, the fabric of the global...

Daily Memo: China Finds Some Support for TPP Bid, AUKUS Fallout

Two down, nine to go. China's longshot bid to join the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership has at least some backing within...

Why Australia Spurned France

The decision by the Australian government to join a U.S.-British consortium to help construct a nuclear submarine capability enraged France, whose previous efforts to...

Daily Memo: Europe’s Soaring Gas Prices, North Korea’s Uranium Processing

Energy bailout? Britain’s business secretary on Monday met with energy companies to discuss rising natural gas prices. The energy sector had earlier warned the...

Daily Memo: US, UK, Australia Forge New Security Pact

Joining forces. British, Australian and U.S. leaders announced a new security partnership for the Indo-Pacific on Wednesday. The trilateral “AUKUS” program will focus on...

Daily Memo: China’s Recovery, No Chips and Surprise Trips

China’s economy sputters. A data dump coming Wednesday is expected to show slumps in several Chinese economic indicators in August, including industrial production and...

On Geoeconomics

Last week, I spoke and moderated at several conferences in person – a rare thing since the pandemic began – whose topics ranged from...

Daily Memo: Biden Sticks to Afghanistan Withdrawal Deadline

Hard deadline. Resisting pressure from G-7 members, U.S. President Joe Biden said Washington would not change the Aug. 31 deadline for the complete withdrawal...

The Road to 2040: A Summary of Our Forecast

Dec. 2, 2015 We look into the future and forecast what the world will look like in a quarter of a century. We predict several disruptions in the global structure by 2040 and conclude that much of the instability over the next 25 years will be focused in the European and Asian continents.

Here is a summary of some of our key predictions for the next 25 years.

The Road to 2040

Dec. 2, 2015 We look into the future and forecast what the world will look like in a quarter of a century. We predict several disruptions in the global structure by 2040 and conclude that much of the instability over the next 25 years will be focused in the European and Asian continents.

Daily Memo: Aircraft Subsidies Breakthrough, Controversial South Korean Drills

Breakthrough in subsidies dispute. The United States and European Union agreed on a cease-fire in their 17-year battle over subsidies for Boeing and Airbus,...

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