Eurasia

Daily Memo: European Leaders Gather in Yerevan

Partners abroad. European leaders are gathering on Monday for a summit of the European Political Community, a forum created in 2022 at the initiative...

The Significance of the Trump-Putin Talks

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Presidents Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin held a 90-minute telephone conversation on April 29 – notably, at Putin's behest. Past conversations of this kind...

Global Economic Trends

(click to enlarge) Though global economic growth has stabilized since the 2020 pandemic meltdown, it remains below pre-pandemic averages and unevenly distributed across regions. After...

Ukraine Opens a New Front in Africa

In December 2025, a Russian oil tanker called the Qendil was struck by Ukrainian drones in the Mediterranean roughly 250 kilometers (155 miles) off...

Daily Memo: Ukraine Aid, Russia-China Ties

Drones for Ukraine. The U.K. will deliver at least 120,000 drones to Ukraine by the end of the year, its largest-ever drone package for...

The Future of Nuclear Modernization

During the Cold War, there was a certain logic to the nuclear balance of power that kept things relatively orderly. The ability to strike...

The Crisis of NATO

The crisis of NATO was triggered by the collapse of the Soviet Union. The alliance was created to protect the regions of Europe occupied...

George Answers Your Questions: The Future of War Is Here

The Future of War Is Here March 30, 2026 Question: How can you say the Russian soldiers are “trained, brave and capable,” as the Russian soldiers...

Hormuz and the Slow-Burn Fertilizer Supply Shock

Oil and gas are not the only critical commodities shut in by the Iran war and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz....

The Future of War Is Here

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In my book “The Future of War,” which was published in 1996, I wrote that the future of warfare would be based on unmanned...

George Answers Your Questions: Beyond Iran: China, Russia and Europe

Beyond Iran: China, Russia and Europe March 23, 2026 Question: Isn’t the Trump administration’s real goal in the Iran war to limit China’s future capability to...

Logistical Complications for Russian Energy Exports

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(click to enlarge) Against the backdrop of the war in the Middle East, sharply rising energy prices, and the temporary easing of U.S. sanctions on...

Disinformation: A New Battlespace for Democracy

Democracies are inherently ill-prepared to deal with the proliferation of information warfare. While state-sponsored propaganda is by no means new, the digital age has...

How Iran Is Repricing Geography

Last week, the International Maritime Organization submitted a proposal to protect shipping in the Persian Gulf that’s modeled on the Black Sea grain initiative,...

Beyond Iran: China, Russia and Europe

The war in Iran continues, its outcome uncertain and length unknown. And though the conflict has already affected the global system significantly, things are...

Conditions for US-Russia Rapprochement Fall Into Place

Seven months after the historic Alaska summit between Russia and the United States, the time may finally be right for a rapprochement. In a...

Latest Posts

Central Asia is a highly strategic region traditionally trapped between several major powers but generally dominated by Russia, whose primary objective remains protecting the buffer zones that extend all the way to Eastern Europe.

The Russian government’s power depends on the security services, provision of economic incentives to a small group of elites and the acquiescence of the Russian population.

Ongoing regional and ethnic tensions threaten the unity of Central Asia and thus, sometimes, to the security of Russia.

Eurasia is highly exposed to Russia economically, especially when it comes to currencies, remittances and labor. Nevertheless, as the Russian economy weakens, partly due to the exporters’ crisis, its financial troubles are contributing to Central Asia’s slow destabilization.

While Russia is the dominant force, the economic slowdown in China, which is a major benefactor of much of Eurasia, is a major risk for Central Asian economies.

Regional Assessment of Russia

Regional Assessment of Central Asia

Required Reads: Eurasia

From our Forecast...

Russia will continue to conduct covert and non-military operations to take control and maintain control of its buffers.

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Latest Posts

Daily Memo: European Leaders Gather in Yerevan

Partners abroad. European leaders are gathering on Monday for a summit of the European Political Community, a forum created in 2022 at the initiative...

The Significance of the Trump-Putin Talks

FREE
Presidents Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin held a 90-minute telephone conversation on April 29 – notably, at Putin's behest. Past conversations of this kind...

George Answers Your Questions: The Iran War and How It Ends

The Iran War and How It Might End April 27, 2026 Question: The IRGC is dependent on money from oil sales and supplies from China. If...