Eurasia

George Answers Your Questions: Venezuela’s Economy and Understanding Russia

The Venezuelan Move as Preface to Cuba Jan. 5, 2026 Question: To quote your article: “ before Hugo Chavez, a leftist who took power in 1999.”...

The Shifting Focus in Eastern European Defense

Countries on NATO’s eastern frontier are rethinking defense along their eastern borders. For Poland and the Baltic states in particular, the focus has long...

The New Maritime Operating Environment

A year ago, we argued that maritime insecurity risked becoming as destabilizing as land-based conflict. Today, that warning largely holds, and in some ways...

George Answers Your Questions: The Strange Fear of Russia

The Strange Fear of Russia Dec. 29, 20205 Question: The reason for the fear of Russia is the threat of nuclear weapons. An invasion of the...

A Regional Order Without Russia

Last week, Russian President Vladimir Putin convened the leaders of the Commonwealth of Independent States for their annual meeting. The CIS comprises former Soviet...

The Strange Fear of Russia

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There is talk of Russia moving into Belarus, launching attacks on Latvia and Lithuania, and preparing a massive operation in and around the Black...

The Military Benefits of Quantum Technology

Modern militaries increasingly depend on the continuous functioning of complex systems rather than on decisive battlefield victories. Military advantages, then, are created less by...

George Answers Your Questions: The Fate of Europe

The European Crisis: Origin and Future Dec. 15, 2025 Question: Europe today is similar to the 13 colonies that came together to oppose a powerful adversary....

Deep Discounts for Russian Crude

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(click to enlarge) Russia has sharply reduced its oil export prices, offering steep discounts on crude. Urals, the country’s flagship blend, was priced at $34.52...

Russia’s Escalation in the Black Sea Has Turkey on Edge

Pressure is building on Ukraine and Russia to end their nearly four-year war, setting off a scramble for leverage that is unnerving some of...

Living Through War in the Black Sea

The winter in Moscow is as dark and nasty as ever, so at the end of November, I made the 1,500-kilometer (930-mile) trip south...

The National Security Strategy of the United States of America

The White House on Dec. 5 released a 33-page document defining American national strategy. The document can be found here, and both friends and...

Kazakhstan’s Strategic Breakout: The Abraham Accords as a Route to the High Seas

Kazakhstan’s decision last month to join the Abraham Accords carries strategic implications that extend far beyond efforts to wind down the eight-decade conflict between...

The Peculiar Economics of the Black Sea Borderland

In moments of geopolitical transition, borderlands are often the harbingers of new economic orders. They are areas of inherent tension because they mark the...

George Answers Your Questions: On the 28-Point Plan to Resolve Ukraine

On the 28-Point Plan to Resolve Ukraine Nov. 24, 2025 Question: Where does Belarus figure in all of this? It borders NATO in the Baltics and...

On the 28-Point Plan to Resolve Ukraine

Any discussion on resolving the war in Ukraine must begin with two fundamental realities: Russia is unable to achieve its military objective to defeat...

Latest Posts

Central Asia is a highly strategic region traditionally trapped between several major powers but generally dominated by Russia, whose primary objective remains protecting the buffer zones that extend all the way to Eastern Europe.

The Russian government’s power depends on the security services, provision of economic incentives to a small group of elites and the acquiescence of the Russian population.

Ongoing regional and ethnic tensions threaten the unity of Central Asia and thus, sometimes, to the security of Russia.

Eurasia is highly exposed to Russia economically, especially when it comes to currencies, remittances and labor. Nevertheless, as the Russian economy weakens, partly due to the exporters’ crisis, its financial troubles are contributing to Central Asia’s slow destabilization.

While Russia is the dominant force, the economic slowdown in China, which is a major benefactor of much of Eurasia, is a major risk for Central Asian economies.

Regional Assessment of Russia

Regional Assessment of Central Asia

Required Reads: Eurasia

From our Forecast...

Russia will continue to conduct covert and non-military operations to take control and maintain control of its buffers.

Eurasia in our Memos

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Latest Posts

Daily Memo: Hamas Disarmament, Venezuelan Oil

Next steps. Hamas has privately signaled that it is ready to disarm, two U.S. officials said after Washington's announcement on Wednesday of the opening...

Iran: Regime Erosion and Frontier Fragility

The foundations of the Iranian regime are eroding and probably will continue to do so for a long time. In a bid to accelerate...

Unrest in Iran: A Tipping Point for the Middle East?

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Widespread anti-government protests in Iran have been growing for weeks now in Iran, and the government crackdown has turned deadly. While protests here are not a new phenomenon, many are saying this time things are much different. With the US poised to intervene and the future of the Iranian regime hanging in the balance, this week on the podcast we're taking a look at how the situation is evolving and how it is perceived by the wider region. Talking Geopolitics host Christian Smith is joined by GPF Chairman George Friedman as well as Geopolitical Futures contributing analyst Kamran Bokhari to break it all down.

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