Eurasia

Russia’s Strategy to Revitalize the CIS

Last week, Russian President Vladimir Putin hosted in Moscow the leaders of the other countries in the Commonwealth of Independent States. According to his...

Russia’s Deliberately Unclear Strategy for Iran

FREE
Readers have no doubt noticed that much of my writing over the past two-and-a-half years has focused on Russia. Some of the reasons for...

The Future of Drone Warfare

It’s been said for years that drones are the future of warfare. Their advantages are obvious: They are light and maneuverable and can deliver...

An Idiosyncratic View of Two Wars

FREE
There are two major wars being fought. One, between Ukraine and Russia, has been raging for more than two and a half years but...

Russia Gets Tough on Migration

Russia understands that it’s approaching a demographic crisis. Problems such as falling birth rates would be difficult enough for Moscow to solve even if...

The Increase in Russian Military Forces

FREE
Moscow’s announcement of a dramatic increase in the size of the Russian army by 180,000 new recruits appears to threaten a major increase in...

Will the West Let Ukraine Strike Farther Into Russia?

On Sept. 14, Ukraine again asked the West for permission to strike deeper into Russian territory. The request came a day after U.S. President...

Graphic Essay: Emerging Technologies

From the wheel to the internal combustion engine, new technologies have, for better or worse, fundamentally transformed our society. The emerging technologies listed have...

Ukraine Takes the Fight to Russia’s Doorstep

A little over a year since two suicide drones first tried to reach the Kremlin, Ukrainian drone strikes deep inside Russian territory are now...

The Corridor Dividing Russia and Iran

The Ukraine war has brought Russia and Iran closer, but the full scope of their evolving relationship is more complicated. Until last year, Tehran...

The Paradox of Russian Energy

In early August, Russian President Vladimir Putin signed a law that, starting Nov. 1, legalizes the mining of cryptocurrency, which the Kremlin sees as...

On Ukraine, India Stands Firm With Neutrality

Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s visit to Kyiv on Friday to meet with President Volodymyr Zelenskyy is a calculated diplomatic move designed to underscore...

Azerbaijan’s Role in Russian Strategy

Russian President Vladimir Putin visited the capital of Azerbaijan on Aug. 18 in what was a very curiously timed trip. Not only was it...

Update on the War in Ukraine

FREE
Two and a half years ago, Russia invaded Ukraine, a former part of the Russian Empire and the Soviet Union. The reason for the...

Why China Shuns the Russia-North Korea Alliance

Early this year, there was no greater advocate of a China-Russia-North Korea alliance than Kim Jong Un, the leader of North Korea for more...

The New Reality in the Ukraine War

FREE
Last week, Ukraine did what many thought impossible when it invaded Russia – and, indeed, something that had not happened since World War II....

Latest Posts

Central Asia is a highly strategic region traditionally trapped between several major powers but generally dominated by Russia, whose primary objective remains protecting the buffer zones that extend all the way to Eastern Europe.

The Russian government’s power depends on the security services, provision of economic incentives to a small group of elites and the acquiescence of the Russian population.

Ongoing regional and ethnic tensions threaten the unity of Central Asia and thus, sometimes, to the security of Russia.

Eurasia is highly exposed to Russia economically, especially when it comes to currencies, remittances and labor. Nevertheless, as the Russian economy weakens, partly due to the exporters’ crisis, its financial troubles are contributing to Central Asia’s slow destabilization.

While Russia is the dominant force, the economic slowdown in China, which is a major benefactor of much of Eurasia, is a major risk for Central Asian economies.

Regional Assessment of Russia

Regional Assessment of Central Asia

From our Forecast...

Russia will continue to conduct covert and non-military operations to take control and maintain control of its buffers.

Eurasia in our Memos

Continue to the category

More from Eurasia

Continue to the category

Latest Posts

Daily Memo: China’s Third-Quarter Economic Results

Slow growth. China’s gross domestic product grew by 4.6 percent year over year in the third quarter, the slowest pace of Chinese economic growth...

Europe’s Economic Outlook: Past Changes, Future Problems

The economic news from Europe over the past month has been bleak. Throughout the eurozone, gross domestic product is either stagnant or in decline....

Daily Memo: Erdogan Meets With Iraqi Kurdistan Leader, Arab League Chief

Turkey and Iraqi Kurdistan. The president of Iraq's Kurdish region, Nechirvan Barzani, arrived in Ankara on Wednesday. He met with Turkish President Recep Tayyip...

Get Geopolitical Futures FREE newsletter

Understanding Our Geopolitical Model

Sign up now and receive our special report Understanding our Geopolitical Model

Get weekly analysis from New York Times bestselling author George Friedman and our global team of analysts, plus special offers.

Subscribe Now


The Geopolitics of the American President

FREE with an annual subscription to Geopolitical Futures.

Subscribe Now