Central Asia

Daily Memo: China-Iran Deal, Myanmar’s New Junta Cracks Down

Budding partnership. China and Iran signed a vague, 25-year cooperation agreement during a visit by China’s foreign minister to Tehran on Saturday. Few details on the accord have been released, but it’s reasonable to assume that the main focus is going to be on energy and investment. China needs a lot of energy and isn’t […]

Daily Memo: Pyongyang’s Latest Launch, the Costs of the Suez Canal Blockage

Pyongyang testing patience. North Korea conducted its third missile test of the week on Thursday, this time firing a new medium-range ballistic missile it...

Daily Memo: Sounding the Alarm on Taiwan

Alarm bells over Taiwan. U.S. Indo-Pacific commander Adm. Phil Davidson is continuing to sound the alarm about the growth in Chinese military capabilities, warning...

Daily Memo: US Orders Supply Chain Review

U.S. supply chain review. The White House ordered a comprehensive review of U.S. supply chain vulnerabilities related to overdependence on China. The process, which...

Daily Memo: Brussels’ Frustrations, Cuba’s Economic Opening

Russian resistance. EU foreign affairs chief Josep Borrell said Russia was not interested in a “constructive dialogue with the EU” following his visit to...

Daily Memo: Beijing’s Warnings, Washington’s Demands

‘Independence means war.’ China said its recent series of massive air force incursions into Taiwanese airspace, along with new naval drills underway in the...

Daily Memo: The US Angers China, Kyrgyzstan’s New President

Chinese warnings over Taiwan. The U.S. State Department announced this weekend that it had lifted restrictions on meetings with Taiwanese officials. This comes as...

Brief: Russia Wants More From Kazakhstan

Background: Russia made progress last year shoring up its southern and western border areas, by placing peacekeepers in Nagorno-Karabakh and siding with Belarus’ embattled...

The World in 2021

Introduction Our 2020 global forecast began as follows: Economic dysfunction will remain the main driver of the international system in 2020. Economic stress does not simply...

Forecast Tracker: 2020 Year-End Review

(click to enlarge) Scale: Hit, Partial Hit, Inconclusive, Partial Miss, Miss Global Economic dysfunction will be the main driver of the international system in 2020. Economic stress...

Daily Memo: US Liquidity, Chinese Manufacturing

U.S. liquidity. The U.S. Federal Reserve will extend until March 31 four emergency liquidity programs that were set to expire at the end of...

The Geopolitics of Vaccine Distribution

The American pharmaceutical firm Pfizer, in collaboration with German firm BioNTech, surprised the world when it announced that its coronavirus vaccine showed 90 percent...

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