As I hope you will remember, last month I had been writing about the process of forecasting, sharing with our subscribers the process we will use to draw up the next 30-year forecast by around the new year. This process was rudely interrupted by the Wagner Group, Vladimir Putin and the rest, and I had […]
Given circumstances, I decided to combine my ongoing series on forecasting methods with current events in Ukraine. The source book is “Flashpoints: The Emerging...
There has been a great deal of talk that the Wagner Group's attempted insurrection over the weekend may have weakened Russian President Vladimir Putin....
Be warned, dear reader: This column is much more a personal reflection on geopolitical forecasting than a piece of geopolitical forecasting itself. It is...
Over the past weekend, major global media outlets revealed that the heads of intelligence of about two dozen countries held a (formerly) secret meeting...
Soon after Josef Stalin signed a mutual defense pact with Adolf Hitler, British Prime Minister Winston Churchill said that Russia was a mystery wrapped...