HomeFrom the Desk of George Friedman

From the Desk of George Friedman

Next Stage of Forecasting

George Friedman -
As we at GPF undertake our next long-term forecast, we’d like to do so with a degree of transparency. A degree is all we...

The Crisis of Demography

George Friedman -
In my book “The Next 100 Years,” I argued that one of the greatest challenges facing the United States, even humanity as a whole,...

Belarus Reaches Out to Poland and the EU

George Friedman -
Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko made a speech last week in which he appeared to be reaching out to the West. Belarus has been a...

Benchmarking China

George Friedman -
For some time, China has been regarded as an economic miracle, a country whose rise would in due course put it atop the global...

The State of the War in Ukraine

George Friedman -
A month and a half ago, right after the attempted Wagner coup, there appeared to be chaos in Moscow, with the future of President...

Thinking About School

George Friedman -
This is the place where I give myself the option of looking at my memories rather than solely geopolitics, so forgive me for this...

Five Eyes in Our Time

George Friedman -
A few years ago, I was invited to a military meeting in Australia. When I walked into the room, I expected to see Australian...

Giving Birth to a Book

George Friedman -
As some of you may recall, I am in the process of writing a book. I have done this eight times, and each time...

Poland as a Great Power

George Friedman -
In my book “The Next 100 Years,” which was published in 2009, I argued that Poland would become a dominant power in Continental Europe...

Is Someone Out There?

George Friedman -
Democrat Sen. Chuck Schumer and Republican Sen. Mike Rounds are filing legislation demanding that the federal government reveal the files on what it knows...

Return to Forecasting – ‘Flashpoints: The Emerging Crisis in Europe’

George Friedman -
As I hope you will remember, last month I had been writing about the process of forecasting, sharing with our subscribers the process we...

Forecasting Russia

George Friedman -
The points below are drawn from my book, "The Next 100 Years," which was published in 2009. In the points that follow, I try...
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