HomeFrom the Desk of George Friedman

From the Desk of George Friedman

George Answers Your Questions: Russia’s Strategy

Russia’s Negotiating Strategy May 22, 2025 Comment: Please elaborate on how you arrived at the conclusion that Russia has already lost the war by virtue of not having won yet. Kinetic activity continues and Russia is making gains – costly and slowly. Credible, non-western media shows that the stated Russian objectives have been (physically, not […]

Russia’s Negotiating Strategy

It has been about three months since U.S. President Donald Trump began the negotiation process with Russian President Vladimir Putin for peace in Ukraine....

George Answers Your Questions: India and Pakistan

India, Pakistan, Diplomacy and War May 13, 2025 Comment/Question: Your definitions of "strategic warfare" and "tactical warfare" would be useful to understand. And how will a...

India, Pakistan, Diplomacy and War

Clashes broke out last week between Pakistan and India after a militant group – purportedly backed by Pakistan – attacked an India-controlled area of...

George Answers Your Questions: European Identity

Dear Subscriber, Every letter sent in reaction to articles we write is read by us all on the team. And last week, we began a...

Europe? What’s That?

Europe has become a lightning rod in the United States lately, particularly with regard to the U.S.’ desire to stop guaranteeing European security. It’s...

How Wars End

Wars – which I will define broadly as matters of military conflict sustained partly by the nature of the soldiers fighting and partly by...

The Trump-Putin Negotiations

I normally avoid personalizing geopolitical events, since I regard nations, not leaders, to be the agents of history. But there are moments when the...

Adam Smith, Economics, Finance and Geopolitics

Adam Smith defined how we think about free markets. His guiding principle was, famously, the invisible hand – a mystical force or the hand...

The Geopolitics of Tariffs

There are two analytic principles worth repeating before delving into the raft of tariffs the Trump administration issued last week. The first is that...

How the US Forced Russia’s Failure

On Sunday, The New York Times published an article so long and so significant that it merits unpacking here. Its author, Times investigative reporter...

A New Asian Bloc in the Making?

Senior officials from China, South Korea and Japan will soon meet in Tokyo to try to establish a more formal relationship, replete with security...

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