HomeFrom the Desk of George Friedman

From the Desk of George Friedman

George Answers Your Questions: Comparing US Cycles

George Answers Your Questions: The Dubai Talks on the Ukraine War Jan. 31, 2026 Question: You have written about the 80-year institutional cycle and the 50-year socio-economic cycle in the United States, and that we are in the storm before the calm, but I get the feeling that what is now happening is much more […]

The US, Canada and the Nature of Middle Powers

If nations were thought of as individuals, then the relationship between the United States and Canada would be that of two humans living side...

George Answers Your Questions: The Dubai Talks on the Ukraine War

The Dubai Talks on the Ukraine War Jan. 26, 2026 Question: Will a weakened Russia drift toward the North Korean and Iranian models of instability, propped...

The Dubai Talks on the Ukraine War

Representatives from the United States, Russia and Ukraine held talks over the weekend in Dubai on ending the war in Ukraine. There’s evidence to...

George Answers Your Questions: Personal or Systemic Failings

Confession: I Can’t Figure Out Trump’s Latest Move Jan. 19, 2026 Question: Why don’t you realize Donald Trump is a mentally unbalanced narcissist and therefore his...

Confession: I Can’t Figure Out Trump’s Latest Move

The task I have dedicated my career to is understanding the things that nations must do and what they must not do. I see...

George Answers Your Questions: Trump and Greenland

Why Greenland Matters Jan. 12, 2026 Question: I have followed you from when you set up what is now RANE and then GPF. There has been...

Why Greenland Matters

U.S. President Donald Trump has demanded that Denmark turn Greenland over to the United States. This raises the question of why Greenland matters. It’s...

George Answers Your Questions: Venezuela’s Economy and Understanding Russia

The Venezuelan Move as Preface to Cuba Jan. 5, 2026 Question: To quote your article: “ before Hugo Chavez, a leftist who took power in 1999.”...

The Venezuelan Move as Preface to Cuba

In recent weeks, I have focused on two points. First, the United States is reducing its involvement in the Eastern Hemisphere and increasing its...

George Answers Your Questions: The Strange Fear of Russia

The Strange Fear of Russia Dec. 29, 20205 Question: The reason for the fear of Russia is the threat of nuclear weapons. An invasion of the...

The Strange Fear of Russia

There is talk of Russia moving into Belarus, launching attacks on Latvia and Lithuania, and preparing a massive operation in and around the Black...

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