HomeFrom the Desk of George Friedman

From the Desk of George Friedman

George Friedman’s Thoughts: Deep Geopolitics

Geopolitics is, on the surface, about the relationship between nations and geography. At a deeper level, it is about nations and necessity and predictability. But the fundamental question is what we mean by geography. Geography is about place; it is about the forces that converge on, shape and compel the individual to act, and to […]

The Geopolitics of the Novel Coronavirus

Geopolitics is a fairly slow-moving process that unfolds in predictable ways. This is usually the case. There are then moments when a wild card...

George Friedman’s Thoughts: From the Carpathians to Virginia

Last week, I wrote about two brothers who lived as enemies and stopped speaking to each other. They believed, and others concurred, that the...

The Fragmentation of the European Union

At the end of this week, the United Kingdom, the second-largest economy in Europe, will exit the European Union. Meanwhile, Poland is under intense...

Methodology and Empathetic Analysis

I have spent a great deal of time trying to lay the groundwork for an approach to understanding the relations between nations. I was...

Russia’s Puzzling Moves

Over the past few weeks, two odd things have happened in Russia. The first is that Russian President Vladimir Putin has restructured the government....

Returning to the Beginning

In recent weeks, I have been writing on the very ordinary but precious moments of my life. I wrote about the complexity of my...

Evaluating the Importance of Recent Events

There are moments when the entire world seems to be coming apart, as if Armageddon itself were upon us. Public attention tends to be...

George Friedman’s Thoughts: On Vacations

As you read this, I am lying on a lounge on a tropical beach, living in a pseudo hut with a private pool and...

Iranian and American Strategies After Soleimani

Iran has expressed outrage at the killing of Qassem Soleimani, the head of Iran’s Quds Force, and has announced a resumption of its nuclear...

Iran and the United States: What Comes Next

In order to understand the current confrontation between Iran and the United States, we might begin with the Persian-Babylonian wars. Alternatively, we could begin...

George Friedman’s Thoughts: A Speech in Istanbul

Turkey's decision to move its economic zone in the Eastern Mediterranean to abut Libya’s and then to announce that it was planning to send...

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