George Friedman’s Thoughts: From the Carpathians to Virginia

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Last week, I wrote about two brothers who lived as enemies and stopped speaking to each other. They believed, and others concurred, that the breach between them was political because they were loyal to opposing political parties. On the surface, this explanation for their rift seemed reasonable, but when you step back, you realize that the situation would have required intense debate but not a silence that lasted for decades. And the silence was punctuated by extremely risky acts to save each other’s lives. One saved his brother from the communists; the other tried to save his brother from the anti-communists. If the silence between them was really about politics, why would either not only take such great risk to himself but also betray his fundamental beliefs? This led me to think about other forces at work, the forces generated by the tensions that build up in families and create rifts not over issues but over one’s existential reality. In the case of the two brothers (my father and my uncle), it was a rift that derived from such primordial forces that neither appeared to me to be aware of them. The political explanation overlaid this deeper one and had […]

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George Friedman

George Friedman is an internationally recognized geopolitical forecaster and strategist on international affairs and the founder and chairman of Geopolitical Futures.

Dr. Friedman is also a New York Times bestselling author. His most recent book, THE STORM BEFORE THE CALM: America’s Discord, the Coming Crisis of the 2020s, and the Triumph Beyond, published February 25, 2020 describes how “the United States periodically reaches a point of crisis in which it appears to be at war with itself, yet after an extended period it reinvents itself, in a form both faithful to its founding and radically different from what it had been.” The decade 2020-2030 is such a period which will bring dramatic upheaval and reshaping of American government, foreign policy, economics, and culture.



His most popular book, The Next 100 Years, is kept alive by the prescience of its predictions. Other best-selling books include Flashpoints: The Emerging Crisis in Europe, The Next Decade, America’s Secret War, The Future of War and The Intelligence Edge. His books have been translated into more than 20 languages.

Dr. Friedman has briefed numerous military and government organizations in the United States and overseas and appears regularly as an expert on international affairs, foreign policy and intelligence in major media. For almost 20 years before resigning in May 2015, Dr. Friedman was CEO and then chairman of Stratfor, a company he founded in 1996. Friedman received his bachelor’s degree from the City College of the City University of New York and holds a doctorate in government from Cornell University.