George Friedman’s Thoughts: Deep Geopolitics

Geopolitics is, on the surface, about the relationship between nations and geography. At a deeper level, it is about nations and necessity and predictability. But the fundamental question is what we mean by geography. Geography is about place; it is about the forces that converge on, shape and compel the individual to act, and to do so with other individuals likewise constrained. Physics asserts that the action of any given atom is unpredictable, and that the actions of a mass of atoms are predictable statistically. The question is what permits that predictability. In the same sense, geopolitics makes no claim about what the individual will do. It makes a claim as to what we as a group will do. Geography may be the pivot, but as I have tried to show in the past two weeks, a broader definition of geography is needed. It is of course about oceans, rainfall and grain production, but this provides us what I will call a flat geography, a geography of the moment generalized over time. There is also a deep geography that sees the transformation of place over time, and with it the history of the place that explains the statistical – and […]

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George Friedman

George Friedman is an internationally recognized geopolitical forecaster and strategist on international affairs and the founder and chairman of Geopolitical Futures.

Dr. Friedman is also a New York Times bestselling author. His most recent book, THE STORM BEFORE THE CALM: America’s Discord, the Coming Crisis of the 2020s, and the Triumph Beyond, published February 25, 2020 describes how “the United States periodically reaches a point of crisis in which it appears to be at war with itself, yet after an extended period it reinvents itself, in a form both faithful to its founding and radically different from what it had been.” The decade 2020-2030 is such a period which will bring dramatic upheaval and reshaping of American government, foreign policy, economics, and culture.

His most popular book, The Next 100 Years, is kept alive by the prescience of its predictions. Other best-selling books include Flashpoints: The Emerging Crisis in Europe, The Next Decade, America’s Secret War, The Future of War and The Intelligence Edge. His books have been translated into more than 20 languages.

Dr. Friedman has briefed numerous military and government organizations in the United States and overseas and appears regularly as an expert on international affairs, foreign policy and intelligence in major media. For almost 20 years before resigning in May 2015, Dr. Friedman was CEO and then chairman of Stratfor, a company he founded in 1996. Friedman received his bachelor’s degree from the City College of the City University of New York and holds a doctorate in government from Cornell University.