HomeFrom the Desk of George Friedman

From the Desk of George Friedman

George Answers Your Questions: Turkey’s Potential and Israel’s Challenges

Turkey’s Time to Rise Aug. 4, 2025 Question: Under its current leadership, Turkey is in decline and may soon disintegrate, potentially transforming into an Islamic republic similar to Iran. The economy is in deep crisis, and there is virtually no freedom of any kind. North Korea-style governance is becoming the norm, with people thrown into […]

Turkey’s Time to Rise

ā€œThe Next 100 Years,ā€ which was published some 15 years ago, forecast the emergence of three significant powers over the next few decades: Japan,...

George Answers Your Questions: On Drugs and Immigration

The Geopolitics of Drugs July 28, 2025 Question: The legalization of drugs might get rid of the cartels, but it also might increase drug use. Is...

The Geopolitics of Drugs

Last month, President Donald Trump declared – not for the first time – the drug cartels in Latin America to be international terrorists. And...

George Answers Your Questions: Putin’s Dilemma

Putin's Dilemma July 22, 2025 Question: Do you think either of these are likely to happen? Russia will have in the future a paradigm shift that...

Putin’s Dilemma

In analyzing the process by which the Russia-Ukraine war will end, the most critical factor, as I have argued before, is that by not...

George Answers Your Questions: Floods and Demographics

Floods in the Texas Hill Country: Reflections on a Catastrophe July 14, 2025 Question: You’ve written that the lack of warning on the flooding was due...

Floods in the Texas Hill Country: Reflections on a Catastrophe

A little over a week ago, the Guadalupe River in the Texas Hill Country went berserk, as rivers sometimes do in this area, killing...

George Answers Your Questions: Demographic Crisis

The Nearing Crisis of Demographics July 8, 2025 Question: You have pointed out the problem of labor shortage caused by the need to care for the...

The Nearing Crisis of Demographics

There are moments when I am exhausted by crises that come and go, and remember the next real existential crisis of humanity. It puts...

George Answers Your Questions: Trump’s Diplomacy, U.S. Constitution

Trump's Diplomatic Model June 30, 2025 Question: Comment 1. Clearly, while your world insights eclipse most anyone’s I encourage you to not fall into the hate Donald...

Trump’s Diplomatic Model

U.S. President Donald Trump has developed a clear model for exercising diplomacy. He begins by making demands of other nations, then calls for negotiations....

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