HomeFrom the Desk of George Friedman

From the Desk of George Friedman

A Summary of the Iran War, So Far

George Friedman -
Wars can be viewed by historians later, but while they are raging and facts and lies compete for attention, it’s hard to understand what’s...

George Answers Your Questions: First Thoughts on the Attack on Iran

George Friedman -
First Thoughts on the Attack on Iran March 1, 2026 A message on how we are handling this crisis: This is not an answer to a question...

First Thoughts on the Attack on Iran

George Friedman -
At about 9:30 a.m. local time on Saturday, the United States and Israel launched a surprise attack on Iran. It did not seem to...

George Answers Your Questions: On Nuclear Weapons, and Tariffs and the Supreme Court

George Friedman -
George Answers Your Questions: European Nuclear Umbrella, Risks of a United Europe Feb. 21, 2026 Question: Good response on Europe’s nuclear umbrella, but many observers forget...

The US Supreme Court and Geopolitics

George Friedman -
I’d like to begin by issuing a disclaimer: I am neither a lawyer nor a constitutional scholar, but I would like to share some...

George Answers Your Questions: European Nuclear Umbrella, Risks of a United Europe

George Friedman -
Munich Security Conference and Europe’s Future Feb. 16, 2026 Question: Although the Europeans have some nuclear capability of their own, it is utterly insufficient to dissuade...

Munich Security Conference and Europe’s Future

George Friedman -
Representatives from more than 115 countries gathered over the weekend for the annual Munich Security Conference. Little of substance usually emerges from this meeting,...

George Answers Your Questions: The US, Iran, Nukes and a 9/11 Scenario

George Friedman -
The US, Iran, Nukes and a 9/11 Scenario Feb. 9, 2026 Question: I find it difficult to believe that Washington truly views the Iranian nuclear program...

The US, Iran, Nukes and a 9/11 Scenario

George Friedman -
The United States has entered indirect talks with Tehran over the future of Iran’s nuclear program. Geopolitically, Iran should not be a fundamental issue...

George Answers Your Questions: Comparing US Cycles

George Friedman -
George Answers Your Questions: The Dubai Talks on the Ukraine War Jan. 31, 2026 Question: You have written about the 80-year institutional cycle and the 50-year...

The US, Canada and the Nature of Middle Powers

George Friedman -
If nations were thought of as individuals, then the relationship between the United States and Canada would be that of two humans living side...

George Answers Your Questions: The Dubai Talks on the Ukraine War

George Friedman -
The Dubai Talks on the Ukraine War Jan. 26, 2026 Question: Will a weakened Russia drift toward the North Korean and Iranian models of instability, propped...
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