From the Desk of George Friedman

Brexit is less important than the increasing fragility of Britain and the British Isles.

George Friedman and Jacob L. Shapiro offer different perspectives on a potential intervention.

Vladimir Putin failed to keep his promise to create a modern economy. Now he has to pay the price.

For the United States, immigration has always been a necessity and an agony.

As population growth booms and slows, the only constant is panic.

The next society-changing innovation won’t be driven by the microchip.

The global system that many fear is dying is already dead. The new one has yet to emerge.

The referendum happened over two years ago, but there’s still debate over how to implement the result.

Russia needs a lever to negotiate an end to sanctions, and the Kerch Strait could be just the ticket.

History never repeats itself exactly. Or does it?