HomeFrom the Desk of George Friedman

From the Desk of George Friedman

Anzac Day, Memorial Day and the Geopolitics of a Friendship

George Friedman - April 27, 2021

In history, and in the history of my family, Memorial Day and Anzac Day are intimately bound. On Memorial Day, which comes next month,...

History and Memory

George Friedman - April 23, 2021

Earlier this week, I published a piece on Afghanistan, and in the course of writing that piece, I mentioned the origins of the U.S.-Afghan...

Remembering al-Qaida

George Friedman - April 20, 2021

The United States invaded Afghanistan 20 years ago, soon after the attack on Sept. 11, 2001. By 2008, then-President Barack Obama made it a...

Texas on My Mind

George Friedman - April 16, 2021

Last weekend, my wife and I went to the town of Bandera, in the western part of the Texas Hill Country. (We live in...

The Unlikelihood of a War With China and Russia

George Friedman - April 14, 2021

Much has been made of China’s seemingly unending potential to invade Taiwan – nearly as much as Russia’s buildup near Ukraine, which many believe...

The Myth of a Rules-Based World

George Friedman - April 9, 2021

Two concepts have been constantly used in discussions of international relations of late. One is a liberal international order and the second is a...

China as a Third World Country

George Friedman - April 6, 2021

There is much discussion about the surging Chinese economy and the expanding international influence of China. There is no question that China’s economy has...

The Problem With Face Masks and Vaccinations

George Friedman - April 2, 2021

On Thursday, my wife and I got our second COVID-19 vaccination. I would like to go to a bar, strike up a conversation with...

On the Suez Canal and Chokepoints

George Friedman - March 30, 2021

I’ve often written about chokepoints – those narrow passageways, on land or at sea, that are essential for the movement of goods and people...

Russia, China and the United States: First Shots

George Friedman - March 23, 2021

Any time there is a new U.S. president, major powers set out to test him and lay the groundwork for future bargaining in potential...

Poetry and Forecasting

George Friedman - March 19, 2021

Earlier this week, I wrote an analysis about China’s strategy, the kind of piece that is what is expected in this industry. I end...

China’s Strategic Standpoint

George Friedman - March 16, 2021

One of the hardest problems of foreign policy is developing an accurate evaluation of a potential adversary’s intentions and capabilities, which are frequently separate...

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