HomeFrom the Desk of George Friedman

From the Desk of George Friedman

The Queen Elizabeth and the Prince of Wales

The British recently finished building two new aircraft carriers, the Queen Elizabeth and the Prince of Wales. Last week, Britain announced that one of...

The Future of Coronavirus: A Modest Proposal

George Friedmanā€™s thoughts in and around geopolitics.

The Truth About the US-China Thucydides Trap

We remember Thucydides as a historian thanks to his documentation of the Peloponnesian War, but we often forget that he was also a philosopher....

Facing Our Past

Perhaps the one unmistakable truth of the human condition is that we all live in the past. We are born in a place to...

The ā€˜Spies and Commandosā€™ of Afghanistan

The media exploded late last week with reports that Russia had paid the Taliban bounties to kill U.S. and Afghan troops. The plot was...

Beethoven and Now

I know nothing about music. I canā€™t play an instrument, nor can I read music. My singing appalls even me. Yet music has defined...

Putinā€™s New History of Europe and the Rehabilitation of Stalin

Russian President Vladimir Putin likes to argue that World War II, and much of the suffering wrought by it, was the responsibility not just...

History and Decency

When I was a child, I learned that history moves forward, sometimes gently and sometimes brutally, but that I had no control over what...

Recession or Depression

In March, we declared our 2020 forecast null and void. The COVID-19 pandemic had essentially rendered it irrelevant. The question we posed in March...

The Redemption of Prediction

Foreseeing what will happen is not difficult. It requires only that we face the fact that life always repeats itself if not perfectly, then...

D-Day and Stalin

Editorā€™s Note: The following analysis was published on the anniversary of D-Day in 2019. It has been lightly edited. Over 70 years after it was...

The Beginning of the Cyclic Shift

A number of people have asked me if the events this week are what I was predicting in my book, ā€œThe Storm Before the...

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