HomeFrom the Desk of George Friedman

From the Desk of George Friedman

The Pain and Pleasure of Being Right

George Friedman -

In 2009, I published a book about the next century called “The Next 100 Years,” in which I predicted that Russia would become increasingly aggressive and that, sometime around 2020, its aggression would result in an invasion of Ukraine. It was deemed by many to be absurd, if not impossible. I won’t deny that I […]

Time For Putin’s Hail Mary Pass

George Friedman -
Alexander Dvornikov isn’t exactly a household name, but it could be soon. He’s the Russian general President Vladimir Putin has put in charge of...

War, Hatred and Exhaustion

George Friedman -
For much of my life, my father worked as a typesetter for The New York Times. Type was spit out by linotype machines, and...

How the Ukraine War Will Likely End

George Friedman -
As we consider how the war in Ukraine will end, we must first understand how it began. Russia invaded for geostrategic reasons – having...

A Visit to Dubai

George Friedman -
On the last day of our trip to Dubai, my wife and I are struggling to understand the precise meaning of “one day.” In...

The Emerging Order

George Friedman -
I am writing this from Dubai, on a trip I will describe on my return to the United States. A summit was held in...

How the Ukrainian Battlefield Redefines the World

George Friedman -
The war in Ukraine is a humanitarian tragedy to be sure, but that’s not why it has commanded the world’s attention. After all, there...

Will Russia Return to Its Old Strategy?

George Friedman -
After Russia invaded Ukraine, I explained why I didn’t think it would and laid out my reasoning in a subsequent column. I have been...

Learning Lessons From the War in Ukraine

George Friedman -
After a war, all parties turn to “lessons learned,” a phrase that has become commonplace. A war is, in a hideous way, a learning...

The Tank and I

George Friedman -
In 1972, I was wandering aimlessly around a U.S. Army facility in Pennsylvania called Fort Indiantown Gap. Eventually, I passed two M-60 armored fighting...

Evaluating Russia’s Performance in Ukraine

George Friedman -
The Russian invasion of Ukraine had two goals. The first was to take control of Ukraine, intending to complete the task begun in Belarus...

How the Ukraine War Might Shift the Global System

George Friedman -
War is agony for everyone involved. Wars are bloody affairs that have consequences not just for the soldiers who fight them but also for...
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