HomeFrom the Desk of George Friedman

From the Desk of George Friedman

The Crisis of NATO

The crisis of NATO was triggered by the collapse of the Soviet Union. The alliance was created to protect the regions of Europe occupied by the Anglo-American forces in World War II from the Soviet Union, which had occupied the eastern part of the Continent. Once the Soviet Union collapsed, and with it communism, NATO […]

China and the Iran Negotiations

The United States and Iran have been engaged in indirect negotiations in Pakistan on ending the Middle East conflict. Indirect talks are always complex...

George Answers Your Questions: The Future of War Is Here

The Future of War Is Here March 30, 2026 Question: How can you say the Russian soldiers are “trained, brave and capable,” as the Russian soldiers...

The Future of War Is Here

In my book “The Future of War,” which was published in 1996, I wrote that the future of warfare would be based on unmanned...

George Answers Your Questions: Beyond Iran: China, Russia and Europe

Beyond Iran: China, Russia and Europe March 23, 2026 Question: Isn’t the Trump administration’s real goal in the Iran war to limit China’s future capability to...

Beyond Iran: China, Russia and Europe

The war in Iran continues, its outcome uncertain and length unknown. And though the conflict has already affected the global system significantly, things are...

George Answers Your Questions: Geopolitics, War and Iran

Geopolitics, War and Iran March 17, 2026 Question: Why are you saying that there was a miscalculation? Trump has repeatedly said this would take 4-5 weeks....

Geopolitics, War and Iran

In 1940, the United States placed Japan in a difficult position. Japan was a country with very limited resources. It had to import oil,...

George Answers Your Questions: A Summary of the Iran War, So Far


A Summary of the Iran War, So Far March 11, 2026 Question: Is your first option effectively the so-called mowing the lawn strategy? That would be...

A Summary of the Iran War, So Far

Wars can be viewed by historians later, but while they are raging and facts and lies compete for attention, it’s hard to understand what’s...

George Answers Your Questions: First Thoughts on the Attack on Iran

First Thoughts on the Attack on Iran March 1, 2026 A message on how we are handling this crisis: This is not an answer to a question...

First Thoughts on the Attack on Iran

At about 9:30 a.m. local time on Saturday, the United States and Israel launched a surprise attack on Iran. It did not seem to...

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