HomeFrom the Desk of George Friedman

From the Desk of George Friedman

Japan, Australia and a New Regional Order

George Friedman -
We have written a great deal on the evolution of U.S.-China relations, and we expect them to evolve further after the upcoming summit between...

George Answers Your Questions: Hungary and the Iran War

George Friedman -
War and the Principles of the Negotiation Process April 13, 2026 Question: Your latest analysis finally introduces the true vector of this conflict: China. However, applying...

Speculating on South America’s Extraordinary Future

George Friedman -
This is not a forecast. A forecast is a prediction, the validity of which my ego and I are professionally responsible for. What I...

Hungary and Europe

George Friedman -
Viktor Orban, after 16 years as prime minister of Hungary, has lost an election and will soon be replaced by Peter Magyar. Orban was...

War and the Principles of the Negotiation Process

George Friedman -
All wars end. Sometimes, the end is reached when one side achieves its goals, which can range from a limited victory to the conquest...

George Answers Your Questions: The Crisis of NATO, and China and the Iran Negotiations

George Friedman -
The Crisis of NATO April 8, 2026 Question: For decades NATO has maintained that it is a defensive alliance, and this has been a central argument...

The Crisis of NATO

George Friedman -
The crisis of NATO was triggered by the collapse of the Soviet Union. The alliance was created to protect the regions of Europe occupied...

China and the Iran Negotiations

George Friedman -
The United States and Iran have been engaged in indirect negotiations in Pakistan on ending the Middle East conflict. Indirect talks are always complex...

George Answers Your Questions: The Future of War Is Here

George Friedman -
The Future of War Is Here March 30, 2026 Question: How can you say the Russian soldiers are “trained, brave and capable,” as the Russian soldiers...

The Future of War Is Here

George Friedman -
In my book “The Future of War,” which was published in 1996, I wrote that the future of warfare would be based on unmanned...

George Answers Your Questions: Beyond Iran: China, Russia and Europe

George Friedman -
Beyond Iran: China, Russia and Europe March 23, 2026 Question: Isn’t the Trump administration’s real goal in the Iran war to limit China’s future capability to...

Beyond Iran: China, Russia and Europe

George Friedman -
The war in Iran continues, its outcome uncertain and length unknown. And though the conflict has already affected the global system significantly, things are...
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