HomeFrom the Desk of George Friedman

From the Desk of George Friedman

The Last War

The world is focused on the Hamas-Israel war that is now raging. But this war has its psychological antecedents in a war that occurred...

Thinking About Intelligence

The news from Israel has been stunning, and the explanation that many are providing for what happened is that there was an “intelligence failure.”...

The World Begins to Reorder Itself

I wrote a few months ago that the world is in the process of reordering itself, something it does every few generations. It is...

The Hamas-Israel War

Editor's note: This is a special Sunday report on Hamas' surprise attack on Israel and the Israeli response. Hamas fighters launched a major attack on...

Thoughts on the American Interest

Recently, I wrote an article on the Ukraine war titled “The War Is Over, but No One Knows How to Stop Fighting.” There were...

The War Is Over, but No One Knows How to Stop Fighting

It has been more than one and a half years since Russia launched its attack on Ukraine. The war has not gone as the...

Russia Seals Its Southern Border

Russia's focus currently is on its western front, in Ukraine and neighboring countries. There is, however, another front that concerns Russia: its southern border,...

The Chinese Mystery

Chinese Defense Minister Li Shangfu has disappeared. Some reports say he was meeting with Vietnamese officials when he was escorted away, but according to...

9/11: The Perfect Op

It has been 22 years since the 9/11 attack that destroyed the World Trade Center buildings and a wing of the Pentagon and launched...

A Shift in Ukrainian Strategy

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy announced over the weekend that he replaced his defense minister with someone new – unsurprising, given the exhaustion the minister...

The Genius of Labor Day

Editor's note: To mark the Labor Day holiday, we are republishing this article, originally released in 2020. Labor Day became an American Federal Holiday in...

Prigozhin RIP, Or Do the Best You Can

Wagner Group boss Yevgeny Prigozhin is dead. He died of a fatal dose of self-confidence. He made three mistakes. First, he thought himself a...

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