HomeFrom the Desk of George Friedman

From the Desk of George Friedman

Geopolitics and the Moon

The moon will soon totally eclipse the sun – an event rare enough to be measured in centuries. This is a suitable occasion, then,...

Our Trip to the Western Pacific

My wife and I are returning from a six-week trip spanning New Zealand, Australia and Japan. The trip’s purposes were both personal and work-related....

America Approaches the Crisis

We have recently discussed China's problems, Russia's ability to defeat Ukraine, the economic condition of Europe and the wars of the Middle East. All...

Understanding the Israel-Hamas War

Understanding why Hamas attacked Israel on Oct. 7 requires an understanding of Hamas’ fundamental goal: the creation of a Palestinian state. The group understood...

Europe’s Strategic Moment

It’s been two years since Russia invaded Ukraine, so it’s time to lay out the strategic situation as I see it. In February 2022,...

On the Death of Alexei Navalny

Alexei Navalny was an opponent of the Russian regime, and for his trouble, he was sent to prison – a gulag, as it was...

Additional Thoughts on the Putin Interview

On Tuesday, we published an article I wrote on Tucker Carlson’s interview with Russian President Vladimir Putin. I believe the interview revealed a great...

Putin’s Perspective on the Russia-Ukraine War

Russian President Vladimir Putin did something unprecedented last week: He held a two-hour press conference directed at the American public. It was not exactly...

The American Dilemma of War

Many argue that the United States should not have involved itself in the Ukraine war. For some, it’s a matter of national interest; for...

A Shift in Russian Wartime Policy?

Russian state-owned news agency RIA Novosti published a statement made by President Vladimir Putin on Wednesday that we regard as a significant shift in...

U.S. and Iranian Intentions

Three U.S. servicemen were killed during a drone attack last night on a military base in Jordan, located near the Syrian border. President Joe...

Global Forecast for the Next Year

This is not a detailed forecast of the fate of every country for 2024. Rather, it is an attempt to identify the main trends...

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