HomeFrom the Desk of George Friedman

From the Desk of George Friedman

The 2020s and Its Historic Shift: The United States

In my book ā€œThe Next 100 Years,ā€ published in 2009, I predicted that in the 2020s the United States would experience a massive socio-economic crisis, as well as a substantial institutional crisis. The forecast was based on historic cycles, whereby the former occurs roughly every 50 years and the latter roughly every 80 years. Socio-economic […]

George Answers Your Questions: Trump’s Gaza Peace Plan, Leaders in History

Question: Can Trump’s proposal on Gaza actually bring peace, or will it simply fail as all peace plans in the Middle East seem to...

George Answers Your Questions: Japan’s Demographics, Trump’s Shift on Ukraine

The 2020s and Its Historic Shift: Japan’s Evolution Sept. 22, 2025 Question: What you did not address in this article was Japan’s demographic outlook with negative...

The 2020s and Its Historic Shift: Japan’s Evolution

In ā€œThe Next 100 Years,ā€ I asserted that Japan was the third and least absurd nation that would begin to emerge as a major...

George Answers Your Questions: Political Language and Turkey’s Options

The 2020s and Its Historic Shift: Poland’s Evolution Sept. 8, 2025 Question: Can you explain the policies and philosophical underpinnings defined by the terms ā€œfar-rightā€ and...

The 2020s and Its Historic Shift: Turkey’s Evolution

The Anatolian Peninsula was once the center of one of the most powerful empires in history. The Ottoman Empire lasted from the 14th century...

George Answers Your Questions: Leaders and Poland’s Demographics

George Friedman’s Note to Readers on New Series: ā€œThe 2020s and Its Historic Shiftā€ Sept. 7, 2025 Question: No mention of leadership – good, bad or...

The 2020s and Its Historic Shift: Poland’s Evolution

In the years prior to writing ā€œThe Next 100 Yearsā€ (published in 2009), I viewed Poland as a nation that had not really recovered...

George Friedman’s Note to Readers on New Series: ā€œThe 2020s and Its Historic Shiftā€

In ā€œThe Next 100 Years,ā€ written over several years and published in 2009, I made a number of forecasts for the 2020s: The United...

George Answers Your Questions: On Human Nature and Taking the US Seriously

Question: It is constantly perplexing that human beings don’t seem to have learnt much over thousands of years. Sure, there have seen advancements in...

The Genius of Labor Day

Editor's note: To mark the Labor Day holiday, we are republishing this article, originally released in 2020. Labor Day became an American Federal Holiday in...

George Answers Your Questions: On Russia’s Capabilities in Ukraine

Calibrating Capability and Interest in Ukraine Aug. 25, 2025 Question: This article is an excellent summary of geopolitics. It hits all the key notes of military,...

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