HomeFrom the Desk of George Friedman

From the Desk of George Friedman

Americans, Fear and War

George Friedman - February 18, 2022

We are living in a time when war appears imminent, but for many of us, this isn’t our first rodeo. I grew up during a time when war seemed to be stalking us. Americans had experienced Pearl Harbor, which brought them into a war that caught them by surprise, even if it wasn’t all that […]

The Phases of War

George Friedman - February 11, 2022

As we consider the American claim that Russia intends to attack Ukraine – which the Kremlin denies – it is useful to consider in...

Is an Invasion of Ukraine Imminent?

George Friedman - February 8, 2022

Over the past few days, the United States has warned that a Russian invasion of Ukraine may be imminent. The chairman of the Joint...

Thinking About Global Annihilation

George Friedman - February 4, 2022

We are in the midst of a major confrontation between the U.S. and Russia. I was there when President Ronald Reagan bluffed the Soviets...

Russia’s True Strategy Shows Itself

George Friedman - February 1, 2022

If you look at the whole of Russia’s behavior around Ukraine, its strategy becomes clear – or as clear as clear gets in geopolitics....

The German Question

George Friedman - January 28, 2022

Regardless of how the Ukraine crisis ends, one thing present but often overlooked is the German question. It’s a question that has hounded Europe...

From the European Buffers to the Intermarium

George Friedman - January 14, 2022

Russia has been in the process of reclaiming its buffer zones – the areas in its periphery such as the Caucasus, the Baltics, Central...

The Continuing Storm

George Friedman - January 7, 2022

It has been about two years since “The Storm Before the Calm: America’s Discord, the Crisis of the 2020s, and the Triumph Beyond” was...

America’s Wars and Failures

George Friedman - January 4, 2022

Sixty years ago, in 1962, the United States made the decision to go to war in Vietnam, deploying major ground and air forces to...

Russia, US and Ukraine: The State of Play

George Friedman - December 28, 2021

When nations negotiate, a quiet settles in before the threats begin. Such is the case now between the U.S. and Russia, which will soon...

The Russian Treaty Proposal

George Friedman - December 20, 2021

We have been operating with a model of Russia. Having lost its non-Russian territories with the breakup of the Soviet Union, Russia is missing...

A Moment of Miracles

George Friedman - December 17, 2021

Judaism and Christianity share many things, but the thing most binding is the constant sense of the magnificent impossibility of the world: the miracle...

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