HomeFrom the Desk of George Friedman

From the Desk of George Friedman

Destabilizing Major Powers

The Geopolitical Futures model argues that the northern tier of entities are the center of power in the global system and define how the...

The Flank of War

The arena for the Russian-Ukrainian war is obviously Ukraine. But as in most wars, the main arena does not define the war as a...

Strange Events and the Future of the Russo-Ukrainian War

Russia and Ukraine have signed an agreement to permit the shipping of grain through the Black Sea to world markets. A few hours after...

Ninjas, Crime and Las Vegas

I’m on a plane to Las Vegas to attend the most important meeting of my year: My grandson is about to compete in the...

Biden in Saudi Arabia: Realpolitik vs. Morality

The war in Ukraine rages on as the United States still wants to prevent Russia from effectively reaching Eastern Europe. To that end, Washington’s...

The Storm Rages

In my most recent book, “The Storm Before the Calm,” I predicted that the 2020s would be a period of intense economic and political...

Japan Enters a New Phase in Its History

Former Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe was assassinated last week. Days later, his political party won an overwhelming majority in parliament. The Liberal Democratic...

A Night in Vienna

Last Sunday night, my wife and I were walking near St. Stephen’s Cathedral in Vienna. Sunday nights are quiet and dark in Vienna. For...

Russian Military Doctrine

The city of Lysychansk has fallen to Russia, giving it full control of Ukraine’s breakaway Luhansk region and putting it in position to gain...

Homelands

I am on a train from Budapest to Vienna. Last night, I delivered a speech and did something I never do. I began the...

Warsaw to Budapest

The trip from Warsaw to Budapest is a trip between two realities. Warsaw is not quite on a war footing but exudes a desire...

Where the Cold War Began

I stood on a balcony in Warsaw this past week to gaze at the Vistula River. The Vistula runs wide and deep, the guardian...

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