HomeFrom the Desk of George Friedman

From the Desk of George Friedman

America Approaches the Crisis

George Friedman -
We have recently discussed China's problems, Russia's ability to defeat Ukraine, the economic condition of Europe and the wars of the Middle East. All...

Understanding the Israel-Hamas War

George Friedman -
Understanding why Hamas attacked Israel on Oct. 7 requires an understanding of Hamas’ fundamental goal: the creation of a Palestinian state. The group understood...

Europe’s Strategic Moment

George Friedman -
It’s been two years since Russia invaded Ukraine, so it’s time to lay out the strategic situation as I see it. In February 2022,...

On the Death of Alexei Navalny

George Friedman -
Alexei Navalny was an opponent of the Russian regime, and for his trouble, he was sent to prison – a gulag, as it was...

Additional Thoughts on the Putin Interview

George Friedman -
On Tuesday, we published an article I wrote on Tucker Carlson’s interview with Russian President Vladimir Putin. I believe the interview revealed a great...

Putin’s Perspective on the Russia-Ukraine War

George Friedman -
Russian President Vladimir Putin did something unprecedented last week: He held a two-hour press conference directed at the American public. It was not exactly...

The American Dilemma of War

George Friedman -
Many argue that the United States should not have involved itself in the Ukraine war. For some, it’s a matter of national interest; for...

A Shift in Russian Wartime Policy?

George Friedman -
Russian state-owned news agency RIA Novosti published a statement made by President Vladimir Putin on Wednesday that we regard as a significant shift in...

U.S. and Iranian Intentions

George Friedman -
Three U.S. servicemen were killed during a drone attack last night on a military base in Jordan, located near the Syrian border. President Joe...

Global Forecast for the Next Year

George Friedman -
This is not a detailed forecast of the fate of every country for 2024. Rather, it is an attempt to identify the main trends...

Fishing for the Fourth Institutional Cycle

George Friedman -
I have written a great deal about socio-economic cycles but far less on institutional cycles, specifically how the fourth institutional cycle in American history...

AUKUS in 2024

George Friedman -
The trilateral security partnership comprising the United States, the United Kingdom and Australia – known simply as AUKUS – is among the most interesting...
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