The referendum on whether Britain will leave the European Union will take place on June 23. The debate in Britain has been primarily about the economic and financial consequences of Brexit, as it is called. But while that is a fundamental issue, it is far from the only issue. The vote also revolves around questions of sovereignty and Britain’s strategic position in the world.
Geopolitical Futures uses a model that takes into account geography, politics, economics and defense. By examining a country’s imperatives (what it must do) and its constraints (what it cannot do) we can paint a picture of the U.K.’s outlook should it opt to leave or remain in Europe. As Europe continues fragmenting, Britain is pursuing a dual strategy to address its strategic challenges: It will work to adapt to the various crises in Europe while also looking beyond the Continent.
Our report’s main conclusions are:
Economically, the U.K. cannot afford to jeopardize its trade and investm