GPF Team

Geopolitical Futures is a company that charts the course of the international system. It’s an ambitious mission, maybe even foolhardy, but hear us out.

Latest From Author

North Korea may be the biggest black swan of all

George Friedman, founder and chairman of Geopolitical Futures, recently warned that the U.S.’s big military buildup off the Korean peninsula — including two aircraft carriers and daily exercises by...

The Islamic State’s Fallback

June 8, 2017 Its strategy is changing, and our model must change with it.

North Korea: Structured for Survival

June 8, 2017 What explains the longevity of the Kim dynasty?

Watch List: June 8, 2017

The items listed below represent potential emerging issues that our analysts are tracking. These can be long term or short term, but will be updated daily. If an item...

Midway: The Battle That Almost Lost the War

Japan’s defeat at Midway was a freak, and that freak created the world we live in, writes George Friedman. Full Story

What the Paris Agreement Doesn’t Say About US Power

June 7, 2017 Trump’s decision to pull out of the deal doesn’t indicate a waning U.S. presence in the world.

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China’s President Is in Trouble

The Chinese president has failed to manage the country’s relationship with its most important trade partner.

The New US Strategy to Remove Maduro in Venezuela

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The Venezuelan president is motivated now more than ever to accept a transition deal.

The Origins of New US-Turkish Relations

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For several years, there has been a significant shift underway in U.S. strategy toward the Middle East, where Washington has consistently sought to avoid combat. The United States is now compelled to seek accommodation with Turkey, a regional power in its own right, based...