GPF Team

Geopolitical Futures is a company that charts the course of the international system. It’s an ambitious mission, maybe even foolhardy, but hear us out.

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Midway: The Battle That Almost Lost the War

Japan’s defeat at Midway was a freak, and that freak created the world we live in, writes George Friedman. Full Story

Midway: The Battle That Almost Lost the War

June 7, 2017 Japan’s defeat at Midway was a freak, and that freak created the world we live in.

What the Paris Agreement Doesn’t Say About US Power

June 7, 2017 Trump’s decision to pull out of the deal doesn’t indicate a waning U.S. presence in the world.

Watch List: June 7, 2017

The items listed below represent potential emerging issues that our analysts are tracking. These can be long term or short term, but will be updated daily. If an item...

A closer look at North Korea’s artillery capabilities

No one really knows the true status of Pyongyang’s nuclear program, but a nuclear strike on a US asset or ally is unlikely because it would force the US...

Why Diplomacy Is Unlikely to Solve the Korean Crisis

George Friedman: The U.S. is hoping for a diplomatic solution but isn’t counting on one. Full Story

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China’s President Is in Trouble

The Chinese president has failed to manage the country’s relationship with its most important trade partner.

The New US Strategy to Remove Maduro in Venezuela

The Venezuelan president is motivated now more than ever to accept a transition deal.

The Origins of New US-Turkish Relations

For several years, there has been a significant shift underway in U.S. strategy toward the Middle East, where Washington has consistently sought to avoid combat. The United States is now compelled to seek accommodation with Turkey, a regional power in its own right, based...