Below you will find a list of books Geopolitical Futures’ analysts are currently reading. It highlights insightful and relevant books from around the globe and the reasons our analysts chose them. Sully Warner Bros. Pictures George Friedman: This reading list usually includes books, but I saw a movie this weekend that was worth mentioning. It’s the story of the pilot who landed a plane in an emergency in the Hudson River and saved all the passengers (based off the book “Highest Duty: My Search for What Really Matters” by Chesley “Sully” Sullenberger and Jeffrey Zaslow). In that sense it was gripping but what really captured my attention was the discussion of modeling air crashes. The simulations indicated that he should have been able to land at local airports. Then, Sully pointed out that the model did not allow for human thinking and uncertainty but assumed the pilots would know immediately what action to take. With zero hesitation, it would be only just possible to land the plane. In reality, it was impossible. Since Geopolitical Futures is based on modeling the international system (that’s how we forecast) it is a hard lesson to us to account for the friction of decision making. […]

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