The items listed below represent potential emerging issues that our analysts are tracking. These can be long term or short term, but will be updated daily. If an item on our Watch List becomes critical, we will email you a full analysis explaining its significance.
Each Saturday, we will follow up our daily Watch List for each week with our conclusions on these issues.
Turkey: A Turkish convoy in Idlib, Syria, was reportedly escorted to its destination by Hayat Tahrir al-Sham, a group that consists primarily of al-Qaida’s former Syria affiliate, al-Nusra Front. The two sides were fighting as recently as this weekend, but now they are reportedly discussing the entrance of Turkish forces into Idlib. How big an incursion are we talking about, and is there an understanding between Hayat Tahrir al-Sham and Turkey? Second, BBC reported that Turkey issued an arrest warrant for a second U.S. Consulate worker. The version of the story by Turkish newspaper Hurriyet said that the w