The items listed below represent potential emerging issues that our analysts are tracking. These can be long term or short term, but will be updated daily. If an item on our Watch List becomes critical, we will email you a full analysis explaining its significance.
Each Saturday, we will follow up our daily Watch List for each week with our conclusions on these issues.
- China: Housing prices in China have fallen for the first time in nearly two years after several city governments passed restrictions on home purchases and increased the minimum down payment required for a mortgage. It’s time to look at how these changes in the housing market will impact the Chinese economy.
- Ethiopia: The United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization has warned that if an ongoing drought in Ethiopia continues, it could jeopardize recovery efforts. Historically, droughts have contributed to major government changes. Given that tensions among ethnic groups already are high, let’s measure the scale of this drought and its threat level compared to previous ones.
- Norway: The United Kingdom, United States and Norway have been reviving Cold War-era agreements to monitor Russian activities in the Norwegian and Barents seas. Norway established a new company-sized ranger unit of about 200 troops, while 300 U.S. Marines arrived in Norway this week for a six-month deployment. That marks the first time since World War II that foreign troops are stationed there. These troop numbers are relatively small, but let’s determine the extent of Russian forces near the border.
- Islamic State: Reports state that Iraqi forces have fully retaken eastern Mosul from the Islamic State. Additionally, IS claimed it seized an electricity company from Syrian forces in Deir al-Zour, Syria. Let’s confirm these claims and get updates on current battles.
- Bosnia-Herzegovina: The United States has imposed sanctions on Republika Srpska President Milorad Dodik for “actively obstructing” the Dayton Accords. Let’s identify what interests the U.S. has in the region that could explain these sanctions.