Home Analysis Turkey in the Long Run AnalysisFrom the Desk of George FriedmanRegional DirectoryMiddle East and North Africa Turkey in the Long Run By George Friedman - August 15, 2018 1317 The crisis is part of a systemic problem that rapidly emerging powers frequently encounter. This article is for subscribers only Join thousands of readers who rely on GPF for clear-eyed geopolitical analysis. $89 per year Save 18% vs. monthly ✓Full access to all daily analysis & forecasts ✓George Friedman's geopolitical insights ✓2026 Forecast & Special Collection on the Middle East ✓100% reader-supported Subscribe Now 30-day money-back guarantee Already a subscriber? Log in RELATED ARTICLESMORE FROM AUTHOR Analysis Turkey’s Ascent From Dependence to Autonomy Analysis Daily Memo: North Korea-Russia Ties, UAE Defense Americas Daily Memo: French-Polish Nuclear Exercise, German Military Ambitions Latest Posts The Iran War and How It Might EndFREE Analysis George Friedman - April 27, 2026 Continue to the category Turkey’s Ascent From Dependence to Autonomy Analysis Andrew Davidson - April 29, 2026 Daily Memo: Iraq Ends Its Political Stalemate, SCO Summit Begins Americas Geopolitical Futures - April 28, 2026