One of the underlying principals driving the European integration project for the past several decades – free movement – is under threat, signaling that the fragmentation of the European Union is intensifying. A leaked document outlining proposals to be discussed at the EU’s interior ministers meeting tomorrow indicates that the bloc’s member states are considering allowing one or more members to reintroduce border controls at all or some of their internal borders for a period of two years. Geopolitical Futures predicted that the EU’s open border system, which is defined by the Schengen agreement, would be challenged as a result of the migrant crisis and security concerns in our 2016 forecast.
The Schengen agreement, which currently includes 26 member states, has abolished border controls, forming a vast zone where people and goods can easily move from country to country. Some member states have already introduced temporary border controls over the past months, in response