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Mauritania’s Extremism Problem
Despite Mauritania’s immense mineral and fishery resources, it’s ranked 159th out of 189 countries in the United Nations’ human development index. Its population of 4.4 million has an average per capita income of less than $1,700. Since independence in 1960, it has seen four military coups, and its only smooth transition of power took place […]
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Why China Wants the Spratlys
For several months, China has been relentlessly asserting its control over disputed parts of the South China Sea. Hundreds of vessels in the Chinese maritime militia – lightly armed fishing fleets that don’t so much fish as serve as foot soldiers for the Chinese navy – have been squatting around various reefs in the disputed […]
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The Decline of Births and the Transformation of All things
The U.S. birth rate fell by 4 percent in 2020 compared to 2019, resulting in the lowest number of babies born since 1979. The fertility rate now stands at 1.64 births per woman, calculated over child-bearing years, which is the lowest since the 1930s when record-keeping began. To maintain the population level, American women need […]
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Daily Memo: Japan and Taiwan’s Joint Operation in the East China Sea
East China Sea intel. Japan and Taiwan reportedly conducted a joint surveillance operation over the weekend for the first time, tracking the movements of a Chinese warship tooling around the East China Sea and passing through the Miyako Strait. Newly released satellite images show Japanese and Taiwanese warships in the area. Any signs of closer […]
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Daily Memo: Russians Rally for Navalny, Brussels Takes Aim at AstraZeneca
Rallying for Navalny. Supporters of jailed Russian opposition leader Alexei Navalny, who is currently on a hunger strike, held rallies in multiple Russian cities on Wednesday. According to the Ministry of Internal Affairs, about 6,000 people participated in the demonstration in Moscow and about 4,000 people came out in St. Petersburg. Russian human rights group […]
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India’s Trump Card Against China
Despite its enormous potential, India is by no means an inevitable counterweight to Chinese ambitions in the Indian Ocean. The country’s immense domestic needs and its preoccupation with land-based threats have prevented it from turning its attention fully to the maritime realm. And the more China races ahead with its breakneck military expansion, the harder […]
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In the Pandemic, an Opportunity for Russia in Uzbekistan
Russia has been trying, and often succeeding, to maintain its influence in Central Asia ever since the collapse of the Soviet Union. It’s not alone, of course – the United States, China and Turkey are also interested in the region’s resources and geostrategic potential. But as the rest of the world focuses on the COVID-19 […]
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Russia’s Economy: Surviving but Not Thriving
The Russian economy has ostensibly avoided disaster during a difficult year in which it faced the threat of new sanctions, dramatic fluctuations in oil prices and pandemic-induced restrictions on economic activity. Exports and investment inflows fell, but output as a whole was better than expected and better than in several other developed countries. The numbers […]
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Daily Memo: Pyongyang’s Latest Launch, the Costs of the Suez Canal Blockage
Pyongyang testing patience. North Korea conducted its third missile test of the week on Thursday, this time firing a new medium-range ballistic missile it first showed off at a military parade in January. The missile, launched from a road-mobile launcher (another thing North Korea has been trying to perfect), was fired in the general direction […]
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Daily Memo: Cooperation on Rare Earths, Hong Kong’s New Elections Law
Tackling the rare earths issue. The Quad countries – the U.S., Australia, Japan and India – are reportedly preparing to roll out a plan to reduce dependence on Chinese rare earths. During the mid-2010s, Japan and Australia proved it can be done. In the U.S. Congress, meanwhile, there’s a bipartisan push to do more to […]
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Daily Memo: Sounding the Alarm on Taiwan
Alarm bells over Taiwan. U.S. Indo-Pacific commander Adm. Phil Davidson is continuing to sound the alarm about the growth in Chinese military capabilities, warning on Tuesday that China might just be capable of pulling off an invasion of Taiwan by 2027. We’re skeptical that China could go all-in like that at an acceptable cost, but […]
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Cuba Is on the Clock
Cuba may be a geostrategically valuable country, but its value far outweighs its actual power. The island’s proximity to the rest of North America’s coastlines, as well as its position in the Gulf of Mexico, which gives it influence over all maritime traffic in the northern part of the Western Hemisphere, has made it both […]
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