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Slouching Into Bethlehem
In his poem titled “The Second Coming,” William Butler Yeats asks what kind of “beast … slouches towards Bethlehem to be born?” Perhaps he meant the anti-Christ, but I’m not so sure. What I am sure of is that much of what humans propose and try to enact must slouch into being rather than be […]
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Daily Memo: EU Leaders Eye Deal on Russian Oil Price Cap
Inching closer. EU leaders have agreed tentatively on a $60 per barrel price cap on Russian seaborne oil, with an adjustment mechanism to keep the cap at 5 percent below the market price. Meanwhile, OPEC+ oil producers will meet on Sunday to discuss imposing deeper production cuts in response to the cap, which is expected […]
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The Valdai Club
FREEDissenting Opinions: The Complexity of Naming Things
Editor’s note: We at GPF are a group of (more or less) like-minded individuals writing for a common purpose – to make sense of the world. It’s a daunting job that makes it impossible for us to agree on everything, so rather than shrink from the task, we have decided to embrace the impossible by […]
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The European Centre of Gravity is Shifting to the North-East
FREEThe Limits of the Israeli-Chinese Partnership
In recent weeks, observers have pointed to an apparent strengthening of relations between Israel and China. A new center for research on Israeli-Chinese relations, called the Israel-China Policy Center, opened in Tel Aviv last month, and officials from both countries confirmed a trade deal is expected to be signed by the end of the year. […]
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Tunisia’s President Tightens His Grip on Power
In July 2021, Tunisian President Kais Saied staged a presidential coup, fired Prime Minister Hisham Mchichi, suspended the parliament and ruled by decree, arrogating broad legislative and executive powers. He ordered the army to surround the parliament, stopped paying the parliamentary deputies’ salaries and rescinded their immunity from prosecution before jailing a few of them, […]
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Diesel Supplies and Food
Diesel supplies appear to be the next casualty of global energy disruptions. In fact, they started the year in a weak position, thanks to the COVID-19 pandemic. Inventories were tight, and global refining capacity dropped to 78 million barrels per day from 82.1 million bpd. Things got only worse after Russia invaded Ukraine. The United […]
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Arab Food Insecurity and Political Failure
The Arab region, extending from the Persian Gulf in the east to the Atlantic Ocean in the west, faces severe shortages of several staple foods. Given that at least 65 percent of people in most Arab countries are poor or vulnerable to poverty, it’s little surprise that hunger and malnutrition are prevalent in the region. […]
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The Ukraine War’s Effects on Global Food Supplies
FREEDaily Memo: Russian and Ukrainian Foreign Ministers Meet
No progress. Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov and Ukrainian Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba held talks on Thursday in Turkey. They discussed a possible cease-fire and humanitarian issues, but no progress was made on these or other issues. Kuleba called the talks difficult, while Lavrov said Moscow wants Ukraine to adopt a neutral status and certain […]
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Rising Food Prices Will Shake the Middle East and North Africa
The war in Ukraine is exacerbating preexisting problems with global grain supplies and prices. Although higher prices will be felt by all, North African and Middle Eastern countries along the Mediterranean will be more directly and severely affected. Sudden spikes in food prices are directly linked to increased social unrest and conflict. Further, instability in […]
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