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Daily Memo: US Deploys to the Arctic, German Trade Plummets
Message to Moscow. The U.S. Air Force is sending B-1B Lancer bombers to Norway for the first time to begin missions within the next three weeks, reportedly as a signal to Russia of Washington’s commitment to defending its allies and the Arctic. Two hundred U.S. personnel will join the bombers in Norway’s Оrland Air Base. […]
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What We’re Reading: Polarization and Powerful Personalities
Why We’re Polarized By Ezra Klein The day after a violent mob attacked the U.S. Capitol to try to obstruct the certification of a democratic election, GPF’s founder and chairman wrote: “I long for a lost world in which reasonable people could disagree over politics and still be friends. Donald Trump did not rip friendships […]
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Daily Memo: Russian Demonstrations, Iranian Weapons
FREE
Navalny protest crackdown. More than 5,000 people were arrested over the weekend in another round of protests across Russia against the detention of opposition...
The Intelligence Dilemma
FREE
The United States claims to have identified a massive Russian intelligence operation meant to gather secrets from corporations and the government. The line from...
The First and Second Oldest Professions
It’s been reported that Russian operatives penetrated the files of several U.S. companies and government agencies, potentially compromising vital American secrets. I use the word “operatives” because what used to be called spies are now called operatives, and an operative working as a spy in the digital world is increasingly referred to as a hacker. […]
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Daily Memo: China Airs Its Grievances With Australia
14 points of disagreement. A day after Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesman Zhao Lijian listed seven points of disagreement with Australia – ostensibly as justification for a series of major Chinese trade actions targeting Australia – a Chinese embassy dossier including at least seven additional bones to pick with Canberra turned up in Australian media. China […]
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Daily Memo: Risks of Debt Contagion in China
Chinese corporate debt troubles. Two Chinese state-linked enterprises said Monday that they would not be able to meet upcoming onshore bond repayment obligations. Defaults at state-backed firms in China carry particularly high risks of contagion, as they signal to other distressed firms that a state rescue cannot be assumed. Indeed, at least 20 Chinese companies […]
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For the US and China, There’s No Going Back
For months leading up to the U.S. election, there was no shortage of speculation over who Beijing would prefer to have in the White House in January. In several (unsourced) interviews with Western media, Chinese officials insisted that President Xi Jinping and his inner circle didn’t have a particularly strong preference – that neither a […]
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Daily Memo: Strains in US-South Korea Ties
South Korea rebuffs the U.S. on military … South Korean Defense Minister Suh Wook, apparently for the first time, hinted on Tuesday (but never said outright) that a drawdown of U.S. troops from the Korean Peninsula may be on the horizon. Meanwhile, an assistant chief of staff for U.S. Armed Forces Korea wrote an editorial […]
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Some times the politics and journalism of the world gets in the way of clear thinking (at my own peril). Your ability to provide perspective and context to the things that really matter are of high value.
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Brief: The Kremlin Keeps an Eye on the North Caucasus
Editor’s Note: The following is the first of a new content type we are calling Briefs. They are real-time updates on the world’s most pressing geopolitical events, broken down into a reader-friendly format. Please let us know if you have any questions or concerns. Background: The North Caucasus is a region of substantial concern for […]
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Daily Memo: More Protests in Belarus, Food Stress in China
Belarus after the inauguration. Protests began on Wednesday in Minsk after the inauguration ceremony of President Alexander Lukashenko, which had not been publicly announced in advance. The Ministry of Internal Affairs reported that some 5,000 people participated in about 60 acts of protest Wednesday, more than 300 of whom were detained. These were smaller than […]
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