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The Geopolitical Consequences of Australia’s Wildfires

The tragedy has been well documented, but its potential global effects have not.

The End of the Islamic State?

Oct. 12, 2016Ā If IS is weak, we must ask, compared to who?

Watch List: Oct. 4, 2016

The items listed below represent potential emerging issues that our analysts are tracking. These can be long term or short term, but will be...

Why Russia Is Threatening the US in Syria

Oct. 4, 2016Ā Moscow’s ability to back up its rhetoric is questionable.

Watch List Findings: Sept. 24, 2016

What follows are the preliminary findings for issues identified in the daily Watch Lists this week. We are only sending findings that we regard...

Cracks Appear in the Turkey-Russia Partnership

The contradictions in the Turkish-Russian relationship, which seemed on the surface to be blossoming in recent months, are beginning to show themselves. Any one...

How Iran Lost Its Hold Over Iraqi Shiites

Iraqi Shiites understand that Iran wants their country to remain weak and fragmented.

Watch List Findings: Aug. 20, 2016

What follows are the preliminary findings for issues identified in the daily Watch Lists this week. We are only sending findings that we regard...

What We’re Reading: Sullen Escapism and Russian Interventionism

Weekly reviews of what’s on our bookshelves.

The Coup and Turkey as a Great Power

Aug. 1, 2016 Instability does not prevent a country from becoming powerful.

The Problem with Fighting Islamist Terrorism

July 26, 2016Ā Radical Islamism is a movement, not an organization, which makes it much harder to defeat.

American Exposure to the European Financial Crisis

July 14, 2016Ā While the U.S. at first seems fairly shielded from the Continent’s banking problems, a deeper look reveals substantial uncertainty and risk.

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