Aug. 10, 2016 A series of events have increased tensions in recent days.
Yesterday, we noted in our daily Watch List that there are some indications the Russians might be building up their forces east of Ukraine. Today, Russian President Vladimir Putin publicly warned Ukraine. He declared that Ukraine is engaging in terrorism and that the recent deaths of two Russian servicemen will not be ignored. The recent escalation in tensions on the ground, coupled with Putin’s warning to Ukraine, signal that either Russia is preparing to take action in Ukraine, or that the Kremlin is engaging in a high-stakes bluff to enhance...
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March 10, 2017 Approximately one year from now, on March 18, 2018, Russia will hold a presidential election against the backdrop of an economic crisis that will continue to plague the country in the coming year. Internal developments are the key issue facing Russia this year, and the countryside will increasingly show signs of crisis.
Russia faces a number of social and economic problems that have resulted in unrest. After oil prices dropped in late 2014, the country began to experience economic and labor protests. Since then, unrest has continued to spread across Russia. Wage arrears (workers owed back pay), which affect both public and private workers, have become increasingly problematic in oil-dependent and single-industry economies throughout Russia’s interior and in port cities. Cuts in social programs that affect payments to veterans and children have also led to public protests.