From the Forecast: “[For Moscow] 2018 will be spent trying to play … enemies off one another, occupying them with ancillary problems that divert their attention from Russia.”
Update: This may not be our flashiest individual forecast, but it’s among our most accurate. Russia has spent the year poking and prodding rivals such as China and the U.S. with seemingly harmless actions that, left unchecked, could become larger problems to which they would eventually have to respond. Low-cost but potentially high-yield, it’s an ideal strategy for a country as cash strapped as Russia.
As we’ve noted throughout the year, U.S.-Russia relations are deteriorating fast, so it’s no surprise that this forecast has affected the United States more than any other. Most recently, Russia ruffled Washington’s feathers by sending the head of Russian intelligence to Cuba and by deploying bombers to Venezuela for aerial exercises that lasted five days. The move came just after President Vla