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    Welcome to Geopolitical Futures

    We write for the learned public: for those of you who want to understand the world you live in and are citizens of every country, for the public engaged in all walks of life. We believe that democracy can survive only if there is a segment of society that is not caught up in the passions of the moment, but is eager to look at the world as it is. I and my team may have our personal beliefs, but in our work we strive to be objective and indifferent to the opinions swirling around the world. We hope youā€™ll join us in our quest.

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    We use intelligence analysis to discover the small things that will define the future. Geopolitics defines the broad thrusts; intelligence analysis tracks its movements.

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    Our forecasting model is based on the assumption that impersonal forces ā€“ things like geography, politics, economics, military capability and demography ā€“ govern world leaders, not the other way around. Itā€™s an important distinction you donā€™t see anywhere else.

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