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Geopolitical Forecasting
Analyzing the forces that drive nations’ behavior
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Welcome to Geopolitical Futures
We write for the learned public: for those of you who want to understand the world you live in and are citizens of every country, for the public engaged in all walks of life. We believe that democracy can survive only if there is a segment of society that is not caught up in the passions of the moment, but is eager to look at the world as it is. I and my team may have our personal beliefs, but in our work we strive to be objective and indifferent to the opinions swirling around the world. We hope you’ll join us in our quest.
- George Friedman,
Founder, Geopolitical Futures
OUR COMMITMENT TO YOU
Unbiased, Objective Reports
We give you a radically non-ideological perspective, based on a different view of the world. Our selection of what’s important derives from geopolitical trends, not from the media or online chatter.
Intelligence Analysis
We use intelligence analysis to discover the small things that will define the future. Geopolitics defines the broad thrusts; intelligence analysis tracks its movements.
Successful Forecasting
Our forecasting model is based on the assumption that impersonal forces – things like geography, politics, economics, military capability and demography – govern world leaders, not the other way around. It’s an important distinction you don’t see anywhere else.
Forecasts
Geopolitical Forecasts
Geopolitical Futures predicts the actions nations will take based on global cycles and patterns of conflict. Our annual forecast highlights processes that will have lasting consequences and broad geopolitical impact.
Our forecast:
- Reveals the underlying forces driving global behavior
- Explains how the present fits into longer-term geopolitical processes
- Shows which countries are on the rise
- Anticipates shifts in the global economy and trade
Our Content
As a Geopolitical Futures subscriber, you’ll receive regular updates on what’s important today and what’s to come in the future. This includes real-time Briefs on the world’s most pressing geopolitical events, daily in-depth Analysis from our global team of analysts, and a concise Daily Memo to give you exactly what is geopolitically important today.
FREE Featured Content
Podcast: Talking Geopolitics
Subscriber-only Analysis
George Friedman
Understanding Our Geopolitical Model
| 1 |
Information CollectionExtensive open-source information collection keeps us abreast of world events no matter how obscure. It draws from English and foreign language sources and includes traditional media as well as government, institutional and other primary source report from all over the world. |
| 2 |
Strategic IntelligenceWe make sense of the world by overlaying collected information with our model. Our model tells us how to expect a country to behave based on what it must have in order to remain secure, the limits imposed on it and the means at its disposal to take action. |
| 3 |
Net AssessmentThe net assessment is the current snapshot of a country’s position and power at a particular moment in time. It reflects the realities facing a country in terms of what cannot be done and what must be done in the present, thereby enabling us to predict its future behavior. |
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