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Geopolitical Forecasting

Analyzing the forces that drive nations’ behavior

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    Welcome to Geopolitical Futures

    We write for the learned public: for those of you who want to understand the world you live in and are citizens of every country, for the public engaged in all walks of life. We believe that democracy can survive only if there is a segment of society that is not caught up in the passions of the moment, but is eager to look at the world as it is. I and my team may have our personal beliefs, but in our work we strive to be objective and indifferent to the opinions swirling around the world. We hope you’ll join us in our quest.

    - George Friedman,
    Founder, Geopolitical Futures

    OUR COMMITMENT TO YOU

    Unbiased, Objective Reports

    We give you a radically non-ideological perspective, based on a different view of the world. Our selection of what’s important derives from geopolitical trends, not from the media or online chatter.

    Intelligence Analysis

    We use intelligence analysis to discover the small things that will define the future. Geopolitics defines the broad thrusts; intelligence analysis tracks its movements.

    Successful Forecasting

    Our forecasting model is based on the assumption that impersonal forces – things like geography, politics, economics, military capability and demography – govern world leaders, not the other way around. It’s an important distinction you don’t see anywhere else.

    Forecasts

    Geopolitical Forecasts

    Geopolitical Futures predicts the actions nations will take based on global cycles and patterns of conflict. Our annual forecast highlights processes that will have lasting consequences and broad geopolitical impact.
    Our forecast:

    1. Reveals the underlying forces driving global behavior
    2. Explains how the present fits into longer-term geopolitical processes
    3. Shows which countries are on the rise
    4. Anticipates shifts in the global economy and trade

    Our Content

    As a Geopolitical Futures subscriber, you’ll receive regular updates on what’s important today and what’s to come in the future. This includes real-time Briefs on the world’s most pressing geopolitical events, daily in-depth Analysis from our global team of analysts, and a concise Daily Memo to give you exactly what is geopolitically important today.

    FREE Featured Content

    Brief: Fighting Breaks Out in Israel and Palestinian Territories

    FREE
    Background: Israel and the Palestinian territories engage in low-level skirmishes pretty regularly, but intifadas and outright kinetic war are comparatively rarer. There hasn’t been...

    Daily Memo: Alternative Indo-Pacific Supply Chains, Russian-European Relations Up in Flames

    FREE
    Bypassing China. Australia, India and Japan formally launched a so-called Supply Chain Resilience Initiative, an effort to present a supply chain alternative to China...

    Reengaging the Northern Triangle

    FREE
    In recent years, there’s been a periodic and predictable exchange between the United States and the Northern Triangle countries – Honduras, El Salvador and...

    Podcast: Talking Geopolitics

     Subscriber-only Analysis 

    Brief: Ukraine Wants to Buy an Iron Dome Battery

    Background: Israel and Russia have developed a pragmatic and functional relationship on security as...

    Daily Memo: Iraq’s Nuclear Energy Plans

    Iraq's energy plans. Iraq said it was considering building eight nuclear reactors that could...

    George Friedman

    What Does It Mean to Rejoin Europe?

    FREE
    U.S. President Joe Biden’s trip to Europe has thus far pivoted around the single issue on which almost the...

    Children, Grandchildren and the Future of all Things

    I am writing this from Stowe, Vermont, an indication that the fabled New England lives. We have grandchildren nearby...

    Understanding Our Geopolitical Model

    1
    Information Collection

    Extensive open-source information collection keeps us abreast of world events no matter how obscure. It draws from English and foreign language sources and includes traditional media as well as government, institutional and other primary source report from all over the world.

    2
    Strategic Intelligence

    We make sense of the world by overlaying collected information with our model. Our model tells us how to expect a country to behave based on what it must have in order to remain secure, the limits imposed on it and the means at its disposal to take action.

    3
    Net Assessment

    The net assessment is the current snapshot of a country’s position and power at a particular moment in time.  It reflects the realities facing a country in terms of what cannot be done and what must be done in the present, thereby enabling us to predict its future behavior.

    Understand the Issues That Are Shaping the World's Future

    Choose your membership

    Subscriber

    $ 49 /yr
    then $79 annually
     
    • Access to all content
    • Daily Geopolitical Analysis
    • Annual Geopolitical Forecast
    • Forecast Insights

      PLUS
      The World Explained in Maps

      PDF download immediately after purchase

    Club Member

    $ 299 /yr

    $249 (Club Membership) +
    $99 $50 (Subscription)

    • Access to all content
    • Daily Geopolitical Analysis
    • Annual Geopolitical Forecast
    • Forecast Insights
    • Special Report:
      The World Explained in Maps
      Club Member Perks
    • Bi-weekly Video discussions
      With George and GPF analysts
    • Access to Discussion Salon
      Discuss and debate Geopolitics with the ClubGPF community
    • Access to Video Salon
      View exclusive videos and recorded video discussions
    • Other exclusive content
      Includes Podcasts+ and a Map room

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