In the coming days and weeks, there will be a great deal of hysteria and discussion about what Britain’s vote to exit the EU means. We will publish a Deep Dive on the subject on Wednesday that will address how we forecast the fragmentation of Europe and what lies ahead. In the meantime, one of the most important things to watch is the reaction of other European states.
The above chart drives home the challenge currently facing the European Union. Euroskepticism has too often been dismissed as provincial and inconsequential. Neither of these characterizations are true. To take just one example, Marine Le Pen, leader of the National Front Party in France, supports a French referendum on EU membership, and is already renewing calls for a referendum after yesterday’s vote in Britain.
Le Pen is not the fringe in France. She is the mainstream. Fifty-five percent of French citizens in this poll say they want a referendum and 41 percent say they would vote to leave the EU