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Net Assessment of East Asia

May 12, 2016 The economic downturn in China will have significant consequences for the whole region.

Summary Since Geopolitical Futures launched on Dec. 2, East Asia has been one of the most active regions in the world. The basic building blocks of our Net Assessment of the region, which we published in December, still hold, but the model advanced significantly at the beginning of 2016, as China experienced two crashes in its stock market. Stock markets in China are not very important in themselves, but these crashes severely undermined foreign confidence in China's ability to implement economic policy and led to speculation on the yuan and ac...

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