By Kamran Bokhari
Libya has once again made it to the top of the headlines, given the fears that it is becoming the biggest Islamic State sanctuary outside the group’s core turf in eastern Syria and western Iraq. Undoubtedly, IS has demonstrated considerable capability to exploit conditions in the energy-rich failed state, from where it has staged attacks in neighboring Tunisia. However, the group has to overcome several hurdles before it can truly render Libya a viable province of its so-called caliphate. The extent to which IS in Libya will expand depends on the internecine tribal-militia war in the country and the level of stability in neighboring countries Tunisia, Algeria and Egypt.
Attempts are being made to find a solution in Libya. On March 13, Libya’s U.N.-backed Presidential Council called for a transfer of authority to a unity government to bring an end to the infighting between two rival governments and scores of militias. Yet, other indicators show the crisis i