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Daily Memo: Ukraine Aid Delay, Iranian Response to US Negotiations

Holdouts. France and Italy are reportedly stalling the allocation of 5 billion euros ($5.4...

Europe’s Military Spending Spree Shakes Up Arms Market

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(click to enlarge) Europe has sharply increased defense spending in response to Russian aggression and doubt about U.S. credibility. In 2024, European defense budgets rose...

Russia’s Severe Labor Crunch

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(click to enlarge) The Kremlin needs higher production to meet the needs of the domestic economy, sustain exports and supply the military, but a severe...

Trade Trends in Latin America and the Caribbean

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(click to enlarge) Last year, several countries across Latin America and the Caribbean saw substantial swings in export numbers. Argentina experienced an 18.1 percent increase...

Resurrection of the Keystone XL Pipeline

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(click to enlarge) U.S. President Donald Trump has announced plans to revive the Keystone XL Pipeline, reversing the Biden administration’s efforts to cancel it. The...

Latest Analysis

The Risks of the United States’ Latin America Policy

The past couple of months have shown, for better or worse, that Latin America will figure more prominently in U.S. foreign policy under the...

The Limits of a US-Russia Detente

The wars in Ukraine and the Middle East are linked, at least in U.S....

Engineering an End to the Ukraine War

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When the United States entered talks with North Vietnam near the end of the...
2025 Forecast:
The World Without an Anchor

The international order is about to get less orderly.

Vietnam’s Plan to Become a Middle Power

Vietnam and Indonesia last week elevated their bilateral relationship to a so-called comprehensive strategic...

Europe Faces Defining Moment in Its Defense Strategy

NATO military chiefs and European defense ministers gathered in Paris last week to coordinate...

Graphic Essay: The Evolution of NATO

For the past 75 years, NATO has been the de facto defender of Europe....

Turkey and Turmoil in Europe and the Middle East

Massive changes on Turkey’s northern and southern flanks are reshaping its strategic landscape. U.S.-Russia...
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George Friedman, Geopolitical Futures

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Engineering an End to the Ukraine War

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When the United States entered talks with North Vietnam near the end of the Vietnam War, it hadn’t been militarily defeated, but it had...

The Storm Before the Calm

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Forecasts

The World in 2025

The international order is about to get less orderly.

The Road to 2040

We look into the future and forecast what the world…

The World in 2024

The coming year will revolve around what happens in the U.S., China and Russia – and between Israel and Hamas.

Read our annual or long term forecasts.

Regional Directory

Press Room

US Bargaining With China and Russia

With the arrival of the second Trump administration, great power competition is at an inflection point. Both Russia and China face internal crises that...

American Naval Policy and China

Editor’s note: If it feels as though the world is changing, that’s because it is. Global economic reconfiguration, demographic decline and geopolitical realignment have...

Europe: The Agony and Ecstasy of US Relations

One of the most pressing geopolitical issues Europe faces is its evolving relationship with the United States. This relationship will be critical as Europe...

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All over the world, there are institutions that share our enthusiasm for geopolitics. Sometimes they even share our written work with their readers, so it’s only fair that we return the favor. Enter our Partners page, where we occasionally reprint pieces from these institutions free of charge for our subscribers. The views contained herein are those of the authors and do not represent those of GPF and its staff.

Trending Content

Daily Memo: Trump and Putin to Talk, US and Iran Trade Words Over Houthis

Disagreements on details. U.S. President Donald Trump said significant progress had been made toward ending the Russia-Ukraine war and that he plans to speak...

Europe Faces Defining Moment in Its Defense Strategy

NATO military chiefs and European defense ministers gathered in Paris last week to coordinate policies on European security and continued support for Ukraine. The...

America in Transition: George Friedman on Trump’s First 50 Days

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As we edge over the halfway point of Donald Trump's first 100 days in his second term in office, it's possible we're seeing the start of America’s terminal decline or its regeneration, depending on which side of the line you're on. While the US has been busily announcing the end of the post-World War II global order abroad, at home, the president seems to be even more rapidly trying to upend the status quo. In this episode of Talking Geopolitics, Geopolitical Futures Chairman George Friedman joins host Christian Smith to discuss what to make of Trump’s first 50 days in office in the wider context of American history.

George Friedman Reacts to Comments: Putin’s Weakness, Trump’s Strategy, and NATO’s Future

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George Friedman returns to the Mauldin Economics' Global Macro Update to explain why Russia cannot realistically wage war in Europe, NATO's diminishing relevance, and how the current flurry of activity in the White House compares to Roosevelt's first hundred days in office.

Daily Memo: Ukraine and Turkey Seek to Boost Economic Ties

Turkish ties. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy met with Turkey’s trade and agriculture ministers as well as representatives of Turkish business to discuss opportunities for...

Graphic Essay: The Evolution of NATO

For the past 75 years, NATO has been the de facto defender of Europe. Virtually every country on the Continent has its own armed...

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