Daily Memo
What's Geopolitically Important Today

Daily Memo: Black Sea Deal, Visit to Moscow

Limited deal. The United States reached separate agreements with Russia and Ukraine on a...

Europe’s Military Spending Spree Shakes Up Arms Market

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(click to enlarge) Europe has sharply increased defense spending in response to Russian aggression and doubt about U.S. credibility. In 2024, European defense budgets rose...

Russia’s Severe Labor Crunch

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(click to enlarge) The Kremlin needs higher production to meet the needs of the domestic economy, sustain exports and supply the military, but a severe...

Trade Trends in Latin America and the Caribbean

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(click to enlarge) Last year, several countries across Latin America and the Caribbean saw substantial swings in export numbers. Argentina experienced an 18.1 percent increase...

Resurrection of the Keystone XL Pipeline

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(click to enlarge) U.S. President Donald Trump has announced plans to revive the Keystone XL Pipeline, reversing the Biden administration’s efforts to cancel it. The...

Latest Analysis

US and Russia Find Common Ground in the Middle East

The United States and Russia held their third round of talks on Ukraine in Riyadh this week, reportedly focused on a ceasefire in the...

Israel’s Minority Alliance Strategy

After the dramatic fall of Bashar Assad’s regime in Syria, Israeli Foreign Minister Gideon...

A New Asian Bloc in the Making?

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Senior officials from China, South Korea and Japan will soon meet in Tokyo to...
2025 Forecast:
The World Without an Anchor

The international order is about to get less orderly.

The Risks of the United States’ Latin America Policy

The past couple of months have shown, for better or worse, that Latin America...

The Limits of a US-Russia Detente

The wars in Ukraine and the Middle East are linked, at least in U.S....

Engineering an End to the Ukraine War

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When the United States entered talks with North Vietnam near the end of the...

Vietnam’s Plan to Become a Middle Power

Vietnam and Indonesia last week elevated their bilateral relationship to a so-called comprehensive strategic...
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George Friedman, Geopolitical Futures

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A New Asian Bloc in the Making?

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Senior officials from China, South Korea and Japan will soon meet in Tokyo to try to establish a more formal relationship, replete with security...

The Storm Before the Calm

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The World in 2025

The international order is about to get less orderly.

The Road to 2040

We look into the future and forecast what the world…

The World in 2024

The coming year will revolve around what happens in the U.S., China and Russia – and between Israel and Hamas.

Read our annual or long term forecasts.

Regional Directory

Press Room

US Bargaining With China and Russia

With the arrival of the second Trump administration, great power competition is at an inflection point. Both Russia and China face internal crises that...

American Naval Policy and China

Editor’s note: If it feels as though the world is changing, that’s because it is. Global economic reconfiguration, demographic decline and geopolitical realignment have...

Europe: The Agony and Ecstasy of US Relations

One of the most pressing geopolitical issues Europe faces is its evolving relationship with the United States. This relationship will be critical as Europe...

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Trending Content

The Risks of the United States’ Latin America Policy

The past couple of months have shown, for better or worse, that Latin America will figure more prominently in U.S. foreign policy under the...

Daily Memo: Iran-Backed Militants Brace for Strikes

Preparations. Iran-backed militias in Iraq over the past few days have reportedly begun moving their headquarters and relocating weapons depots, fearing possible U.S. or...

The Limits of a US-Russia Detente

The wars in Ukraine and the Middle East are linked, at least in U.S. efforts to resolve them. In many ways, a contiguous shatter...

Daily Memo: Istanbul Mayor Arrested, Trump and Putin Speak

Erdogan's rival targeted. Istanbul Mayor Ekrem Imamoglu, of the opposition Republican People’s Party, was detained on Wednesday, just days before his party was expected...

Engineering an End to the Ukraine War

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When the United States entered talks with North Vietnam near the end of the Vietnam War, it hadn’t been militarily defeated, but it had...

Daily Memo: Renewed Fighting in Gaza, Speculation on Trump-Putin Meeting

Hitting Hamas. Israel on Tuesday carried out its largest airstrikes on Hamas targets in Gaza since both sides agreed to a ceasefire in January....

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